Challenger Santa Cruz 2Challenger 75Semifinalclaybest of three sets

Comesana vs Seyboth Wild 1:2: result and our tips

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Francisco ComesanaATP #130Elo 1796clay 1802
1:2final6:7(0) 6:4 6:7(3)
Thiago Seyboth WildATP #111Elo 1849clay 1858

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Seyboth WildWon57%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Comesana lost the first set in 9 of the last 20 matches, Seyboth Wild won the first set in 17 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Seyboth Wild 2-0Lost38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Comesana lost 0-2 in 5 of the last 20 matches, Seyboth Wild won 2-0 in 16 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Francisco Comesana42%
Thiago Seyboth Wild59%

Elo: F. Comesana 42% · T. Seyboth Wild 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Comesana23%
2:1 F. Comesana17%
2:1 T. Seyboth Wild21%
2:0 T. Seyboth Wild38%

First set

Francisco Comesana43%
Thiago Seyboth Wild57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%59%
20.560%40%52%
21.554%46%47%
22.547%53%40%
23.542%58%36%
24.540%60%34%
25.536%64%30%

Sample: 4,878 matches

Games handicap

Thiago Seyboth Wild −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 36 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Francisco ComesanaThiago Seyboth Wild
5Aces12
3Double faults2
62%First serves in64%
69%First-serve points won73%
58%Second-serve points won59%
3/8Break points converted2/9
15/17Service games held14/17
65%Service points won68%
32%Return points won35%
108Total points won114

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. ComesanaTourT. Seyboth Wild
Service points won63%62%66%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held77%76%84%
Breaks of serve23%24%30%
Aces per service game0.490.53
Double faults per game0.250.20
Sets with a tie-break17%11%
Tie-breaks won10/227/14
Wins in straight sets55%83%
Matches in the sample4958

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Francisco Comesana

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Elo over the last year

Francisco ComesanaThiago Seyboth Wild

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. ComesanaT. Seyboth Wild
Hard court5–1131%2–340%
Clay17–1553%38–1572%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Francisco Comesana

Thiago Seyboth Wild