Challenger Santa Cruz 2Challenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Seyboth Wild vs Alves: prediction and tips

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Thiago Seyboth WildATP #136Elo 1835clay 1843
-:-awaiting result
Mateus AlvesATP #385Elo 1495clay 1515

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Seyboth Wild 2-064%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Seyboth Wild won 2-0 in 15 of the last 20 matches, Alves lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.567%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Seyboth Wild 17 of 20, Alves 11 of 20 (tour average 60%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.550%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Seyboth Wild 13 of 20, Alves 8 of 20 (tour average 41%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Thiago Seyboth Wild85%
Mateus Alves16%

Elo: T. Seyboth Wild 87% · M. Alves 13%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Seyboth Wild63%
2:1 T. Seyboth Wild21%
2:1 M. Alves8%
2:0 M. Alves8%

First set

Thiago Seyboth Wild77%
Mateus Alves23%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 56%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.580%20%84%
17.571%29%76%
18.560%40%68%
19.551%49%59%
20.544%56%52%
21.540%61%47%
22.534%66%40%

Sample: 1,899 matches

Games handicap

Thiago Seyboth Wild −5.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. Seyboth WildTourM. Alves
Service points won66%62%60%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held84%76%73%
Breaks of serve29%24%23%
Aces per service game0.520.44
Double faults per game0.200.28
Sets with a tie-break10%7%
Tie-breaks won6/132/4
Wins in straight sets81%70%
Matches in the sample5526

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Mateus Alves

  • 12/10/26WBruno Fernandez#567Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q26:1 3:6 6:3
  • 05/10/26LJose Pereira#778Challenger Antofagasta · Q23:6 3:6
  • 04/10/26WBautista de la PenaChallenger Antofagasta · Q16:2 6:1
  • 01/10/26LGonzalo Villanueva#323Challenger Curitiba · R162:6 3:6
  • 29/09/26WJose Pereira#778Challenger Curitiba · R326:2 1:6 6:4
  • 13/07/26LJan Kumstat#191Challenger Bunschoten · Q23:6 3:6
  • 12/07/26WFons van Sambeek#997Challenger Bunschoten · Q17:6 6:1
  • 06/05/26LHernan Casanova#411Challenger Santos · R327:6 1:6 2:6
  • 12/04/26LBruno Kuzuhara#683Challenger Tallahassee · Q16:4 4:6 2:6
  • 05/04/26LKarl Poling#459Challenger Mexico City · Q13:6 1:4

Elo over the last year

Thiago Seyboth WildMateus Alves

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. Seyboth WildM. Alves
Hard court2–340%1–233%
Clay35–1570%9–1439%

Head to head

T. Seyboth Wild 1–0 M. Alves

  • 05/03/23Winner: Thiago Seyboth Wild6:3 3:6 6:2

Road through the tournament

Thiago Seyboth Wild

First match in this tournament.

Mateus Alves