Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Finalclaybest of three sets

Seyboth Wild vs Reis Da Silva 1:2: result and our tips

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Thiago Seyboth WildATP #136Elo 1852clay 1862
1:2final6:7(2) 6:1 2:6
Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaATP #230Elo 1732clay 1741

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Seyboth WildLost68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Seyboth Wild: 11 matches in a row winning the first set; Seyboth Wild won the first set in 18 of the last 20 matches, Reis Da Silva lost the first set in 8 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Seyboth WildLost75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Seyboth Wild: 11 wins in a row; Seyboth Wild won 10 of the last 10 matches

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Lost63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Seyboth Wild 18 of 20, Reis Da Silva 16 of 20 (tour average 64%); Under 23.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost46%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Seyboth Wild 17 of 20, Reis Da Silva 14 of 20 (tour average 48%); Seyboth Wild: 5 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Thiago Seyboth Wild75%
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva26%

Elo: T. Seyboth Wild 67% · J. Reis Da Silva 33%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Seyboth Wild51%
2:1 T. Seyboth Wild23%
2:1 J. Reis Da Silva12%
2:0 J. Reis Da Silva14%

First set

Thiago Seyboth Wild68%
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva32%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.549%51%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.537%63%36%
24.535%65%34%

Sample: 3,181 matches

Games handicap

Thiago Seyboth Wild −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Thiago Seyboth WildJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva
13Aces3
7Double faults2
54%First serves in76%
78%First-serve points won71%
44%Second-serve points won40%
4/6Break points converted3/8
10/13Service games held10/14
62%Service points won63%
37%Return points won38%
83Total points won84

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. Seyboth WildTourJ. Reis Da Silva
Service points won66%62%62%
Return points won40%38%39%
Service games held84%76%75%
Breaks of serve29%24%25%
Aces per service game0.510.25
Double faults per game0.190.15
Sets with a tie-break10%11%
Tie-breaks won6/127/15
Wins in straight sets81%70%
Matches in the sample5460

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Elo over the last year

Thiago Seyboth WildJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. Seyboth WildJ. Reis Da Silva
Hard court2–340%0–20%
Clay35–1471%30–2753%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

T. Seyboth Wild 3–0 J. Reis Da Silva

  • 06/03/23Winner: Thiago Seyboth Wild6:3 6:2
  • 18/11/22Winner: Thiago Seyboth Wild6:2 7:5
  • 26/09/22Winner: Thiago Seyboth Wild6:4 6:4

Road through the tournament

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

See also