Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Pucinelli de Almeida vs Reis Da Silva 0:2: result and our tips

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Matheus Pucinelli de AlmeidaATP #255Elo 1767clay 1779
0:2final4:6 6:7(1)
Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaATP #230Elo 1699clay 1708

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoLost75%

Where the number comes from: market alone 69% → with the players' profiles 75%

No tie-break in recent matches: Pucinelli de Almeida 16 of 20, Reis Da Silva 16 of 20 (tour average 73%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida63%
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva37%

Elo: M. Pucinelli de Almeida 60% · J. Reis Da Silva 40%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Pucinelli de Almeida41%
2:1 M. Pucinelli de Almeida23%
2:1 J. Reis Da Silva16%
2:0 J. Reis Da Silva21%

First set

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida60%
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%61%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,714 matches

Games handicap

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Matheus Pucinelli de AlmeidaJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva
2Aces0
3Double faults3
65%First serves in60%
61%First-serve points won64%
50%Second-serve points won68%
2/5Break points converted3/5
8/11Service games held9/11
57%Service points won66%
34%Return points won43%
63Total points won75

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. Pucinelli de AlmeidaTourJ. Reis Da Silva
Service points won61%62%62%
Return points won44%38%38%
Service games held74%76%74%
Breaks of serve35%24%24%
Aces per service game0.190.26
Double faults per game0.250.15
Sets with a tie-break10%10%
Tie-breaks won5/136/14
Wins in straight sets62%68%
Matches in the sample5358

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Elo over the last year

Matheus Pucinelli de AlmeidaJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. Pucinelli de AlmeidaJ. Reis Da Silva
Hard court3–443%0–20%
Clay31–1567%28–2751%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

M. Pucinelli de Almeida 2–0 J. Reis Da Silva

  • 30/09/26Winner: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida6:3 4:6 6:3
  • 24/09/25Winner: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida6:0 3:6 6:4

Road through the tournament

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva