Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Semifinalclaybest of three sets

Prado Angelo vs Reis Da Silva 0:2: result and our tips

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Juan Carlos Prado AngeloATP #162Elo 1742clay 1750
0:2final3:6 4:6
Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaATP #230Elo 1716clay 1726

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Prado Angelo 14 of 20, Reis Da Silva 16 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won38%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 38%

Prado Angelo: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo56%
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva44%

Elo: J. Prado Angelo 54% · J. Reis Da Silva 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Prado Angelo36%
2:1 J. Prado Angelo21%
2:1 J. Reis Da Silva18%
2:0 J. Reis Da Silva25%

First set

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo56%
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%30%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%47%
22.544%56%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,731 matches

Games handicap

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Juan Carlos Prado AngeloJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva
3Aces2
0Double faults1
61%First serves in71%
64%First-serve points won67%
38%Second-serve points won50%
2/3Break points converted4/8
5/9Service games held8/10
54%Service points won62%
38%Return points won46%
53Total points won64

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. Prado AngeloTourJ. Reis Da Silva
Service points won59%62%62%
Return points won41%38%39%
Service games held70%76%74%
Breaks of serve30%24%24%
Aces per service game0.210.25
Double faults per game0.210.15
Sets with a tie-break16%11%
Tie-breaks won18/257/15
Wins in straight sets68%69%
Matches in the sample6959

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Elo over the last year

Juan Carlos Prado AngeloJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. Prado AngeloJ. Reis Da Silva
Hard court5–645%0–20%
Clay35–2261%29–2752%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

J. Prado Angelo 1–1 J. Reis Da Silva

  • 04/03/26Winner: Juan Carlos Prado Angelo3:6 6:3 6:4
  • 05/04/24Winner: Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva2:6 1:6

Road through the tournament

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva