Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Prado Angelo vs Tobon 2:0: result and our tips

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Juan Carlos Prado AngeloATP #162Elo 1732clay 1740
2:0final6:2 6:2
Miguel TobonATP #506Elo 1584clay 1591

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Prado AngeloWon66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Prado Angelo won the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Tobon lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.5Lost36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Tobon: 3 matches in a row going the distance

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo73%
Miguel Tobon27%

Elo: J. Prado Angelo 70% · M. Tobon 30%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Prado Angelo49%
2:1 J. Prado Angelo23%
2:1 M. Tobon13%
2:0 M. Tobon15%

First set

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo67%
Miguel Tobon34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%24%76%
18.568%32%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.552%48%52%
21.546%54%47%
22.540%60%40%
23.537%63%36%

Sample: 3,467 matches

Games handicap

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo −4.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Juan Carlos Prado AngeloMiguel Tobon
3Aces0
—Double faults—
68%First serves in80%
72%First-serve points won32%
47%Second-serve points won44%
6/11Break points converted2/6
6/8Service games held2/8
64%Service points won35%
65%Return points won36%
60Total points won33

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. Prado AngeloTourM. Tobon
Service points won59%62%62%
Return points won41%38%38%
Service games held70%76%75%
Breaks of serve29%24%26%
Aces per service game0.210.37
Double faults per game0.210.32
Sets with a tie-break16%20%
Tie-breaks won18/2512/25
Wins in straight sets67%58%
Matches in the sample6853

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Miguel Tobon

Elo over the last year

Juan Carlos Prado AngeloMiguel Tobon

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. Prado AngeloM. Tobon
Hard court5–645%9–950%
Clay34–2261%17–1849%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Miguel Tobon