Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Semifinalclaybest of three sets

Midon vs Seyboth Wild 0:2: result and our tips

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Lautaro MidonATP #206Elo 1765clay 1785
0:2final4:6 1:6
Thiago Seyboth WildATP #136Elo 1842clay 1850

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Seyboth WildWon65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Seyboth Wild: 10 matches in a row winning the first set; Midon lost the first set in 7 of the last 20 matches, Seyboth Wild won the first set in 18 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Seyboth WildWon70%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Seyboth Wild: 10 wins in a row; Seyboth Wild won 10 of the last 10 matches

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won59%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 56% → with the players' profiles 59%

    Seyboth Wild: 4 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won40%

Where the number comes from: market alone 37% → with the players' profiles 40%

Seyboth Wild: 4 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lautaro Midon28%
Thiago Seyboth Wild72%

Elo: L. Midon 41% · T. Seyboth Wild 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Midon15%
2:1 L. Midon13%
2:1 T. Seyboth Wild23%
2:0 T. Seyboth Wild49%

First set

Lautaro Midon34%
Thiago Seyboth Wild66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%76%
18.568%32%68%
19.560%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.547%53%47%
22.541%59%40%
23.537%63%36%

Sample: 3,554 matches

Games handicap

Thiago Seyboth Wild −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Lautaro MidonThiago Seyboth Wild
0Aces2
2Double faults1
49%First serves in50%
54%First-serve points won85%
48%Second-serve points won56%
1/5Break points converted4/6
4/8Service games held8/9
51%Service points won70%
30%Return points won49%
41Total points won62

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. MidonTourT. Seyboth Wild
Service points won59%62%66%
Return points won43%38%40%
Service games held69%76%84%
Breaks of serve33%24%29%
Aces per service game0.300.51
Double faults per game0.190.19
Sets with a tie-break12%10%
Tie-breaks won12/196/12
Wins in straight sets53%81%
Matches in the sample6553

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lautaro Midon

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Elo over the last year

Lautaro MidonThiago Seyboth Wild

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. MidonT. Seyboth Wild
Hard court6–367%2–340%
Clay34–2162%34–1471%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

L. Midon 0–1 T. Seyboth Wild

  • 20/01/26Winner: Thiago Seyboth Wild3:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Lautaro Midon

Thiago Seyboth Wild

See also