Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Ribeiro vs Midon 0:2: result and our tips

·

Eduardo RibeiroATP #346Elo 1605clay 1611
0:2final2:6 1:6
Lautaro MidonATP #206Elo 1755clay 1775

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost66%

Where the number comes from: market alone 73% → with the players' profiles 66%

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Ribeiro 18 of 20, Midon 15 of 20 (tour average 68%); Ribeiro: 8 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: MidonWon63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Ribeiro lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Midon won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Eduardo Ribeiro34%
Lautaro Midon66%

Elo: E. Ribeiro 28% · L. Midon 72%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Ribeiro19%
2:1 E. Ribeiro15%
2:1 L. Midon23%
2:0 L. Midon44%

First set

Eduardo Ribeiro38%
Lautaro Midon62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%76%
18.566%34%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.546%54%47%
22.541%59%40%
23.538%62%36%

Sample: 4,370 matches

Games handicap

Lautaro Midon −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Eduardo RibeiroLautaro Midon
1Aces6
3Double faults0
66%First serves in65%
52%First-serve points won82%
35%Second-serve points won47%
0/3Break points converted5/10
3/8Service games held7/7
46%Service points won70%
30%Return points won54%
36Total points won57

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. RibeiroTourL. Midon
Service points won61%62%59%
Return points won40%38%43%
Service games held74%76%69%
Breaks of serve28%24%32%
Aces per service game0.240.30
Double faults per game0.140.20
Sets with a tie-break12%12%
Tie-breaks won4/1412/19
Wins in straight sets72%51%
Matches in the sample5064

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Eduardo Ribeiro

Lautaro Midon

Elo over the last year

Eduardo RibeiroLautaro Midon

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. RibeiroL. Midon
Hard court1–150%6–367%
Clay24–2450%33–2161%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Eduardo Ribeiro

Lautaro Midon

See also