Challenger Santa Cruz 2Challenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets

Seyboth Wild vs Zarate: prediction and tips

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Thiago Seyboth WildATP #136Elo 1838clay 1847
-:-
Carlos Maria ZarateATP #352Elo 1482clay 1493

Our tips

Tip in 11h 46m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Thiago Seyboth Wild90%
Carlos Maria Zarate10%

Elo: T. Seyboth Wild 89% · C. Zarate 12%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Seyboth Wild72%
2:1 T. Seyboth Wild18%
2:1 C. Zarate6%
2:0 C. Zarate5%

First set

Thiago Seyboth Wild83%
Carlos Maria Zarate17%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes23%
no77%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 58%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.579%21%91%
16.569%31%84%
17.559%41%76%
18.549%51%68%
19.542%58%59%
20.535%65%52%
21.531%69%47%

Sample: 1,428 matches

Games handicap

Thiago Seyboth Wild −6.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. Seyboth WildTourC. Zarate
Service points won66%62%59%
Return points won40%38%39%
Service games held84%76%70%
Breaks of serve29%24%26%
Aces per service game0.530.27
Double faults per game0.200.28
Sets with a tie-break11%12%
Tie-breaks won7/147/8
Wins in straight sets82%53%
Matches in the sample5630

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Carlos Maria Zarate

Elo over the last year

Thiago Seyboth WildCarlos Maria Zarate

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. Seyboth WildC. Zarate
Hard court2–340%1–150%
Clay36–1571%14–1450%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Carlos Maria Zarate