Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Round of 32claybest of three sets

Hassan vs Sanchez Izquierdo 2:1: result and our tips

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Benjamin HassanATP #497Elo 1614clay 1633
2:1final6:3 1:6 6:3
Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoATP #154Elo 1727clay 1729

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won70%

Where the number comes from: market alone 73% → with the players' profiles 70%

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Hassan 15 of 20, Sanchez Izquierdo 16 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Sanchez IzquierdoLost69%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 69%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Sanchez Izquierdo won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Benjamin Hassan31%
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo69%

Elo: B. Hassan 37% · N. Sanchez Izquierdo 64%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 B. Hassan17%
2:1 B. Hassan14%
2:1 N. Sanchez Izquierdo23%
2:0 N. Sanchez Izquierdo46%

First set

Benjamin Hassan36%
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo64%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%46%
22.543%57%40%
23.539%62%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,048 matches

Games handicap

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 25 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Benjamin HassanNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
5Aces0
3Double faults3
62%First serves in74%
69%First-serve points won60%
44%Second-serve points won58%
4/10Break points converted4/8
9/13Service games held8/12
60%Service points won60%
40%Return points won41%
79Total points won77

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

B. HassanTourN. Sanchez Izquierdo
Service points won61%62%61%
Return points won37%38%42%
Service games held75%76%75%
Breaks of serve22%24%32%
Aces per service game0.410.19
Double faults per game0.270.22
Sets with a tie-break13%16%
Tie-breaks won11/158/24
Wins in straight sets52%65%
Matches in the sample5165

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Benjamin Hassan

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Elo over the last year

Benjamin HassanNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

B. HassanN. Sanchez Izquierdo
Hard court4–1029%0–10%
Clay21–1657%37–2659%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Benjamin Hassan

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

First match in this tournament.