Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Round of 16claybest of three sets

Passaro vs Sanchez Izquierdo: prediction and tips

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Francesco PassaroATP #229Elo 1807clay 1792
-:-
Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoATP #157Elo 1739clay 1742

Our tips

Tip in 9h 18m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Francesco Passaro63%
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo37%

Elo: F. Passaro 57% · N. Sanchez Izquierdo 43%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Passaro41%
2:1 F. Passaro23%
2:1 N. Sanchez Izquierdo16%
2:0 N. Sanchez Izquierdo21%

First set

Francesco Passaro60%
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%68%
19.565%35%59%
20.558%42%52%
21.553%47%46%
22.545%55%40%
23.541%59%36%
24.539%61%34%

Sample: 4,741 matches

Games handicap

Francesco Passaro −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. PassaroTourN. Sanchez Izquierdo
Service points won66%62%61%
Return points won37%38%42%
Service games held81%76%75%
Breaks of serve21%24%32%
Aces per service game0.490.19
Double faults per game0.230.22
Sets with a tie-break18%15%
Tie-breaks won16/228/22
Wins in straight sets67%65%
Matches in the sample5264

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Francesco Passaro

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Elo over the last year

Francesco PassaroNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. PassaroN. Sanchez Izquierdo
Hard court13–862%0–10%
Clay17–1455%37–2560%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

F. Passaro 1–0 N. Sanchez Izquierdo

  • 17/01/23Winner: Francesco Passaro6:1 6:4

Road through the tournament

Francesco Passaro

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo