Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Finalclaybest of three sets

Forejtek vs Passaro 1:2: result and our tips

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Jonas ForejtekATP #343Elo 1716clay 1714
1:2final3:6 7:6(2) 6:7(4)
Francesco PassaroATP #229Elo 1789clay 1771

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won74%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Forejtek 18 of 20, Passaro 15 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: PassaroWon69%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 69%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Passaro: 4 wins in a row; Passaro won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Won45%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Forejtek 12 of 20, Passaro 8 of 20 (tour average 40%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jonas Forejtek31%
Francesco Passaro69%

Elo: J. Forejtek 42% · F. Passaro 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Forejtek17%
2:1 J. Forejtek14%
2:1 F. Passaro23%
2:0 F. Passaro46%

First set

Jonas Forejtek36%
Francesco Passaro64%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%68%
19.565%35%59%
20.558%42%52%
21.552%48%47%
22.545%55%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,065 matches

Games handicap

Francesco Passaro −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 35 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Jonas ForejtekFrancesco Passaro
1Aces5
2Double faults3
70%First serves in73%
67%First-serve points won77%
60%Second-serve points won57%
1/3Break points converted2/11
14/16Service games held16/17
65%Service points won72%
28%Return points won35%
104Total points won115

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. ForejtekTourF. Passaro
Service points won62%62%65%
Return points won41%38%37%
Service games held77%76%81%
Breaks of serve29%24%21%
Aces per service game0.330.49
Double faults per game0.140.24
Sets with a tie-break16%17%
Tie-breaks won11/2215/20
Wins in straight sets59%68%
Matches in the sample5550

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jonas Forejtek

Francesco Passaro

Elo over the last year

Jonas ForejtekFrancesco Passaro

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. ForejtekF. Passaro
Hard court7–464%13–862%
Clay25–1957%15–1452%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jonas Forejtek

Francesco Passaro

See also