Heide vs Hernandez 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: G. Heide 90% · A. Hernandez 11%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 18.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5 | 89% | 11% | 98% |
| 14.5 | 79% | 21% | 96% |
| 15.5 | 67% | 33% | 91% |
| 16.5 | 55% | 45% | 84% |
| 17.5 | 45% | 55% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 37% | 63% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 30% | 70% | 59% |
Sample: 1,261 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 18.5out · 28 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Gustavo Heide | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Aces | 2 |
| 10 | Double faults | 4 |
| 46% | First serves in | 53% |
| 80% | First-serve points won | 71% |
| 56% | Second-serve points won | 43% |
| 4/10 | Break points converted | 3/8 |
| 11/14 | Service games held | 10/14 |
| 67% | Service points won | 58% |
| 42% | Return points won | 33% |
| 90 | Total points won | 79 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| G. Heide | Tour | A. Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.35 | 0.19 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.43 | 0.37 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 8% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/13 | 5/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 75% | |
| Matches in the sample | 69 | 36 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Gustavo Heide
- 08/10/26LEduardo Ribeiro#355Challenger Antofagasta · R166:3 3:6 4:6
- 06/10/26WMaximo Zeitune#509Challenger Antofagasta · R326:3 1:6 6:4
- 04/10/26LGuido Ivan Justo#184Challenger Curitiba · F1:6 4:6
- 03/10/26WPedro Boscardin Dias#282Challenger Curitiba · SF6:2 6:3
- 02/10/26WLautaro Midon#189Challenger Curitiba · QF6:2 6:4
- 30/09/26WFelipe Meligeni Alves#396Challenger Curitiba · R166:3 6:4
- 29/09/26WHernan Casanova#394Challenger Curitiba · R326:2 6:1
- 11/09/26LMika Brunold#195Challenger Tulln · QF2:6 1:6
- 10/09/26WDiego Dedura#190Challenger Tulln · R166:1 7:5
- 08/09/26WSean Cuenin#310Challenger Tulln · R326:3 6:4
Alex Hernandez
- 19/10/26LFranco Ribero#706Challenger Cali · Q22:6 2:6
- 18/10/26WMatteo Covato#707Challenger Cali · Q17:5 6:4
- 08/09/26LGabi Adrian Boitan#464Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:7 4:6
- 07/09/26WTuncay Duran#548Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q26:4 1:6 6:3
- 06/09/26WCem IlkelChallenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:2 6:4
- 31/08/26LMarek Gengel#419Challenger Manacor · Q17:6 3:6 0:2
- 25/08/26LPaulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos#426Challenger Kingston 2 · R321:6 4:6
- 20/08/26LAlan Magadan#504Challenger Cancun · R326:4 0:6 4:6
- 02/08/26LMillen Hurrion#494Challenger Lexington · Q14:6 4:6
- 28/07/26LBernard Tomic#180ATP Los Cabos · R321:6 0:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| G. Heide | A. Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–517% | 8–1436% |
| Clay | 43–1870% | 4–1029% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Gustavo Heide
First match in this tournament.
Alex Hernandez
- 18/10/26WMatteo Covato#707Challenger Cali · Q17:5 6:4
- 19/10/26LFranco Ribero#706Challenger Cali · Q22:6 2:6