Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Herbert vs Gombos 2:0: result and our tips

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Pierre-Hugues HerbertATP #296Elo 1691hard 1701
2:0final6:3 6:2
Norbert GombosATP #355Elo 1708hard 1646

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost72%

Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 72%

Herbert: 12 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Herbert 16 of 20, Gombos 13 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: YesLost41%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 41%

A tie-break in recent matches: Herbert 11 of 20, Gombos 6 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Pierre-Hugues Herbert57%
Norbert Gombos43%

Elo: P.-H. Herbert 58% · N. Gombos 42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P.-H. Herbert37%
2:1 P.-H. Herbert21%
2:1 N. Gombos17%
2:0 N. Gombos26%

First set

Pierre-Hugues Herbert55%
Norbert Gombos45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 50%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%62%
20.563%37%54%
21.557%43%49%
22.551%50%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.541%60%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,706 matches

Games handicap

Pierre-Hugues Herbert −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 23.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Pierre-Hugues HerbertNorbert Gombos
6Aces5
1Double faults2
61%First serves in41%
80%First-serve points won71%
63%Second-serve points won40%
4/7Break points converted1/2
8/9Service games held4/8
74%Service points won53%
47%Return points won27%
60Total points won40

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P.-H. HerbertTourN. Gombos
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won35%38%39%
Service games held81%76%78%
Breaks of serve19%24%25%
Aces per service game0.550.42
Double faults per game0.440.22
Sets with a tie-break19%17%
Tie-breaks won6/1715/24
Wins in straight sets59%60%
Matches in the sample3763

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Norbert Gombos

Elo over the last year

Pierre-Hugues HerbertNorbert Gombos

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P.-H. HerbertN. Gombos
Hard court10–1050%8–850%
Clay5–838%29–1862%
Grass2–250%0–0

Head to head

P.-H. Herbert 1–0 N. Gombos

  • 20/02/18Winner: Pierre-Hugues Herbert6:2 7:6

Road through the tournament

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

First match in this tournament.

Norbert Gombos