Holmgren vs Friend 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 58%
Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Holmgren 14 of 20, Friend 10 of 20 (tour average 49%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 31% → with the players' profiles 34%
Over 26.5 games in recent matches: Holmgren 10 of 20, Friend 6 of 20 (tour average 27%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Holmgren 32% · J. Friend 68%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 73% | 27% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 65% | 35% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 42% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 52% | 48% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 62% | 32% |
Sample: 5,926 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 23.0in · 18 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| August Holmgren | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 4 |
| 3 | Double faults | 2 |
| 66% | First serves in | 62% |
| 60% | First-serve points won | 76% |
| 56% | Second-serve points won | 65% |
| 0/1 | Break points converted | 3/3 |
| 6/9 | Service games held | 9/9 |
| 59% | Service points won | 72% |
| 28% | Return points won | 42% |
| 46 | Total points won | 60 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Holmgren | Tour | J. Friend | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.60 | 0.47 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.31 | 0.29 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 18/28 | 13/23 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 57% | |
| Matches in the sample | 58 | 47 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
August Holmgren
- 13/10/26LLuca Nardi#241Challenger Olbia · R326:4 4:6 4:6
- 06/10/26LPedro Martinez#126Challenger Villena · R326:2 6:7 5:7
- 02/10/26LHenrique Rocha#100Challenger Porto 2 · QF3:6 6:7
- 01/10/26WAndrea Guerrieri#165Challenger Porto 2 · R167:5 6:1
- 28/09/26WBenjamin Bonzi#99Challenger Porto 2 · R326:3 6:4
- 07/09/26LVadym Ursu#412Challenger Istanbul 3 · R324:6 5:7
- 01/09/26LFelix Balshaw#178Challenger Manacor · R326:7 5:7
- 24/08/26LAndrea Guerrieri#165ATP US Open · Q13:6 7:6 2:6
- 29/07/26LBraden Shick#205Challenger Vancouver · R327:6 3:6 3:6
- 23/07/26LLiam Draxl#194Challenger Winnipeg · R165:7 6:1 4:6
Jay Friend
- 23/10/26LColeman Wong#87Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · QF6:7 1:6
- 21/10/26WJames McCabe#255Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R164:6 7:6 6:4
- 20/10/26WOgnjen Milic#362Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:4 6:7 7:6
- 15/10/26LAlexander Shevchenko#109Challenger Jinan · R160:6 4:6
- 13/10/26WAlibek Kachmazov#360Challenger Jinan · R326:7 7:5 6:3
- 11/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#360Challenger Wuning 3 · F6:4 6:7 6:7
- 10/10/26WKeisuke Saitoh#481Challenger Wuning 3 · SF6:2 6:1
- 09/10/26WRyan Seggerman#568Challenger Wuning 3 · QF7:6 6:2
- 08/10/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 6:3
- 06/10/26WYuta Kikuchi#938Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:1 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Holmgren | J. Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 18–2146% | 30–1764% |
| Clay | 6–367% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 5–645% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.