Friend vs McCabe 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 65%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
McCabe lost 8 of the last 10 matches; Friend won 7 of the last 10 matches
Other tips
- 1st Set Winner: FriendLost61%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Friend won the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches, McCabe lost the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 44%
A tie-break in recent matches: Friend 8 of 20, McCabe 11 of 20 (tour average 32%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: J. Friend 73% · J. McCabe 27%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 73% | 27% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 64% | 36% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 52% | 48% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 32% |
Sample: 5,524 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 22.5in · 33 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Jay Friend | James McCabe | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aces | 3 |
| 2 | Double faults | 5 |
| 64% | First serves in | 62% |
| 73% | First-serve points won | 77% |
| 59% | Second-serve points won | 42% |
| 3/7 | Break points converted | 3/5 |
| 13/16 | Service games held | 13/16 |
| 68% | Service points won | 64% |
| 36% | Return points won | 32% |
| 100 | Total points won | 93 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Friend | Tour | J. McCabe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 34% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.47 | 0.71 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.29 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 26% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/21 | 16/32 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 68% | |
| Matches in the sample | 45 | 55 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jay Friend
- 20/10/26WOgnjen Milic#363Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:4 6:7 7:6
- 15/10/26LAlexander Shevchenko#108Challenger Jinan · R160:6 4:6
- 13/10/26WAlibek Kachmazov#361Challenger Jinan · R326:7 7:5 6:3
- 11/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#361Challenger Wuning 3 · F6:4 6:7 6:7
- 10/10/26WKeisuke Saitoh#478Challenger Wuning 3 · SF6:2 6:1
- 09/10/26WRyan Seggerman#565Challenger Wuning 3 · QF7:6 6:2
- 08/10/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#405Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 6:3
- 06/10/26WYuta Kikuchi#900Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:1 6:4
- 13/09/26LMax Basing#256Challenger Istanbul 3 · F3:6 6:1 0:6
- 12/09/26WMaks Kaśnikowski#214Challenger Istanbul 3 · SF7:6 6:4
James McCabe
- 19/10/26WElias Ymer#228Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:0 6:7 7:6
- 12/10/26LHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Jinan · Q23:6 4:6
- 11/10/26WSiddhant BanthiaChallenger Jinan · Q16:0 3:1
- 30/09/26LFederico Cina#135Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 3:6
- 24/08/26LLukas Neumayer#168ATP US Open · Q11:6 4:6
- 04/08/26LDusan Lajovic#162Challenger Lexington · R323:6 7:6 3:6
- 25/07/26LAlex Bolt#174ATP Washington · Q16:7 6:7
- 21/07/26LDuncan Chan#472Challenger Winnipeg · R326:7 6:4 5:7
- 16/07/26LBernard Tomic#180Challenger Lincoln · R166:7 4:6
- 15/07/26WMasamichi Imamura#427Challenger Lincoln · R326:4 7:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Friend | J. McCabe | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 29–1664% | 22–2052% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 0–20% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 6–555% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Jay Friend
- 20/10/26WOgnjen Milic#363Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:4 6:7 7:6
James McCabe
- 19/10/26WElias Ymer#228Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:0 6:7 7:6