WTA 125 RoveretoRound of 32hardbest of three sets

Iatcenko vs Tan 1:2: result and our tips

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Polina IatcenkoWTA #142Elo 1696hard 1684
1:2final6:2 4:6 0:6
Harmony TanWTA #223Elo 1633hard 1567

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Iatcenko: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 18.5Won67%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Iatcenko 12 of 20, Tan 15 of 20 (tour average 60%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Polina Iatcenko63%
Harmony Tan37%

Elo: P. Iatcenko 66% · H. Tan 34%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Iatcenko41%
2:1 P. Iatcenko21%
2:1 H. Tan16%
2:0 H. Tan22%

First set

Polina Iatcenko60%
Harmony Tan40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%70%
18.567%33%60%
19.559%41%52%
20.552%48%46%
21.547%53%41%
22.542%58%36%
23.537%63%33%

Sample: 2,314 matches

Games handicap

Polina Iatcenko −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 20.0in · 24 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Polina IatcenkoHarmony Tan
2Aces7
8Double faults6
47%First serves in52%
54%First-serve points won68%
45%Second-serve points won59%
4/4Break points converted6/13
6/12Service games held8/12
49%Service points won63%
37%Return points won51%
61Total points won78

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. IatcenkoTourH. Tan
Service points won57%56%58%
Return points won43%44%44%
Service games held63%63%68%
Breaks of serve38%37%36%
Aces per service game0.210.27
Double faults per game0.390.23
Sets with a tie-break10%14%
Tie-breaks won4/73/8
Wins in straight sets59%57%
Matches in the sample3224

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Polina Iatcenko

Harmony Tan

Elo over the last year

Polina IatcenkoHarmony Tan

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. IatcenkoH. Tan
Hard court15–1256%5–550%
Clay0–20%3–350%
Grass2–167%6–275%

Head to head

They have not met yet.