WTA 125 SamsunQuarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Stefanini vs Iatcenko 2:0: result and our tips

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Lucrezia StefaniniWTA #106Elo 1719hard 1700
2:0final6:3 7:5
Polina IatcenkoWTA #142Elo 1725hard 1716

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Iatcenko: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 24.5Won64%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Stefanini 15 of 20, Iatcenko 16 of 20 (tour average 69%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Stefanini 12 of 20, Iatcenko 11 of 20 (tour average 48%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lucrezia Stefanini56%
Polina Iatcenko44%

Elo: L. Stefanini 48% · P. Iatcenko 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Stefanini37%
2:1 L. Stefanini19%
2:1 P. Iatcenko20%
2:0 P. Iatcenko24%

First set

Lucrezia Stefanini57%
Polina Iatcenko43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%60%
19.559%41%52%
20.553%47%46%
21.549%51%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.538%62%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 2,336 matches

Games handicap

Lucrezia Stefanini −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Lucrezia StefaniniPolina Iatcenko
—Aces—
0Double faults5
83%First serves in51%
49%First-serve points won47%
40%Second-serve points won34%
8/13Break points converted6/13
5/11Service games held2/10
48%Service points won41%
59%Return points won52%
84Total points won75

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. StefaniniTourP. Iatcenko
Service points won52%56%57%
Return points won48%44%43%
Service games held55%63%64%
Breaks of serve45%37%37%
Aces per service game0.040.21
Double faults per game0.280.38
Sets with a tie-break10%10%
Tie-breaks won4/114/7
Wins in straight sets59%59%
Matches in the sample5031

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lucrezia Stefanini

Polina Iatcenko

Elo over the last year

Lucrezia StefaniniPolina Iatcenko

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. StefaniniP. Iatcenko
Hard court22–1658%15–1158%
Clay1–420%0–20%
Grass4–357%2–167%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Lucrezia Stefanini

Polina Iatcenko

See also