Ivashka vs Sharipov: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 64% → with the players' profiles 62%
Sharipov: 10 matches in a row under 25.5 games
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Ivashka: 7 matches in a row winning the first set
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: I. Ivashka 38% · M. Sharipov 62%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 72% | 28% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 64% | 37% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 51% | 50% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 56% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 32% |
Sample: 5,527 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| I. Ivashka | Tour | M. Sharipov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 68% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 85% |
| Breaks of serve | 29% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.40 | 0.91 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/17 | 9/18 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 76% | |
| Matches in the sample | 43 | 48 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ilya Ivashka
- 12/10/26WKaichi Uchida#386Challenger Jinan · Q26:2 6:4
- 11/10/26WBeibit Zhukayev#503Challenger Jinan · Q16:0 6:4
- 13/09/26WMarat Sharipov#234Challenger Shanghai · F6:4 3:6 7:6
- 12/09/26WLuca Castelnuovo#455Challenger Shanghai · SF6:3 6:4
- 11/09/26WYi Zhou#277Challenger Shanghai · QF6:3 6:3
- 10/09/26WBernard Tomic#185Challenger Shanghai · R166:4 4:6 6:2
- 08/09/26WYu Hsiou Hsu#297Challenger Shanghai · R326:3 6:3
- 04/09/26LIlia Simakin#154Challenger Zhangjiagang · QF6:7 4:6
- 03/09/26WAkira Santillan#324Challenger Zhangjiagang · R166:4 4:6 6:1
- 01/09/26WYi Zhou#277Challenger Zhangjiagang · R323:6 7:6 6:3
Marat Sharipov
- 13/10/26WJake Delaney#357Challenger Jinan · Q26:3 6:2
- 11/10/26WZhe IangChallenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:0
- 07/10/26LOmar Jasika#422Challenger Wuning 3 · R163:6 0:3
- 05/10/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Wuning 3 · R327:5 6:4
- 01/10/26LAndre Ilagan#194Challenger Jingshan · R162:6 6:7
- 30/09/26WDalibor Svrcina#126Challenger Jingshan · R323:6 6:3 6:1
- 29/09/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#424Challenger Jingshan · Q26:2 6:3
- 28/09/26WNaoya Honda#607Challenger Jingshan · Q17:6 6:2
- 20/09/26WPavel Kotov#187Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · F6:0 6:3
- 19/09/26WPetr Bar Biryukov#278Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · SF7:5 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| I. Ivashka | M. Sharipov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 29–1074% | 28–1270% |
| Clay | 2–250% | 5–363% |
Head to head
I. Ivashka 1–0 M. Sharipov
- 13/09/26Winner: Ilya Ivashka6:4 3:6 7:6
Road through the tournament
Ilya Ivashka
- 11/10/26WBeibit Zhukayev#503Challenger Jinan · Q16:0 6:4
- 12/10/26WKaichi Uchida#386Challenger Jinan · Q26:2 6:4
Marat Sharipov
- 11/10/26WZhe IangChallenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:0
- 13/10/26WJake Delaney#357Challenger Jinan · Q26:3 6:2