Ivashka vs Uchida 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Ivashka won 2-0 in 9 of the last 20 matches, Uchida lost 0-2 in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: I. Ivashka 87% · K. Uchida 13%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 20.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 79% | 21% | 88% |
| 17.5 | 68% | 32% | 80% |
| 18.5 | 58% | 42% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 49% | 51% | 63% |
| 20.5 | 41% | 59% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 35% | 65% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 29% | 71% | 42% |
Sample: 1,473 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 21.5in · 18 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Ilya Ivashka | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 8 |
| 1 | Double faults | 1 |
| 65% | First serves in | 53% |
| 86% | First-serve points won | 71% |
| 47% | Second-serve points won | 36% |
| 3/12 | Break points converted | 0/2 |
| 9/9 | Service games held | 6/9 |
| 72% | Service points won | 55% |
| 46% | Return points won | 28% |
| 69 | Total points won | 51 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| I. Ivashka | Tour | K. Uchida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 29% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.40 | 0.57 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/17 | 7/13 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 42 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ilya Ivashka
- 11/10/26WBeibit Zhukayev#503Challenger Jinan · Q16:0 6:4
- 13/09/26WMarat Sharipov#234Challenger Shanghai · F6:4 3:6 7:6
- 12/09/26WLuca Castelnuovo#455Challenger Shanghai · SF6:3 6:4
- 11/09/26WYi Zhou#277Challenger Shanghai · QF6:3 6:3
- 10/09/26WBernard Tomic#185Challenger Shanghai · R166:4 4:6 6:2
- 08/09/26WYu Hsiou Hsu#297Challenger Shanghai · R326:3 6:3
- 04/09/26LIlia Simakin#154Challenger Zhangjiagang · QF6:7 4:6
- 03/09/26WAkira Santillan#324Challenger Zhangjiagang · R166:4 4:6 6:1
- 01/09/26WYi Zhou#277Challenger Zhangjiagang · R323:6 7:6 6:3
- 07/08/26LJoel Schwaerzler#176Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · QF6:7 4:6
Kaichi Uchida
- 11/10/26WJesse DelaneyChallenger Jinan · Q16:2 7:5
- 08/10/26LRyan Seggerman#620Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:4 5:7 4:6
- 06/10/26WMasamichi Imamura#412Challenger Wuning 3 · R327:6 6:2
- 22/09/26LFederico Cina#147ATP Chengdu · Q11:6 2:6
- 14/09/26LRio Noguchi#221Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:3 2:6 3:6
- 07/09/26LLinang XiaoChallenger Shanghai · R323:6 5:7
- 31/08/26LHanyi Liu#831Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:3 3:6 2:6
- 14/07/26LAlexis Galarneau#184Challenger Granby · R322:6 1:6
- 08/07/26LDaniel Milavsky#315Challenger Newport · R324:6 3:6
- 29/06/26LJack Kennedy#401Challenger Cary · R324:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| I. Ivashka | K. Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 28–1074% | 18–2443% |
| Clay | 2–250% | 0–20% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–30% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Ilya Ivashka
- 11/10/26WBeibit Zhukayev#503Challenger Jinan · Q16:0 6:4
Kaichi Uchida
- 11/10/26WJesse DelaneyChallenger Jinan · Q16:2 7:5