Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Jasika vs Matsuda 0:2: result and our tips

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Omar JasikaATP #388Elo 1560hard 1558
0:2final4:6 6:7(6)
Koki MatsudaATP #475Elo 1512hard 1510

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Omar Jasika81%
Koki Matsuda19%

Elo: O. Jasika 57% · K. Matsuda 43%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Jasika60%
2:1 O. Jasika21%
2:1 K. Matsuda9%
2:0 K. Matsuda10%

First set

Omar Jasika75%
Koki Matsuda26%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.578%22%79%
18.569%31%71%
19.560%40%62%
20.551%49%54%
21.545%55%49%
22.538%62%42%
23.533%67%37%

Sample: 2,824 matches

Games handicap

Omar Jasika −4.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Omar JasikaKoki Matsuda
0Aces10
4Double faults1
74%First serves in57%
73%First-serve points won70%
46%Second-serve points won90%
0/0Break points converted1/6
10/11Service games held11/11
66%Service points won79%
21%Return points won34%
75Total points won86

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. JasikaTourK. Matsuda
Service points won61%62%63%
Return points won37%38%36%
Service games held75%76%78%
Breaks of serve23%24%20%
Aces per service game0.190.51
Double faults per game0.220.17
Sets with a tie-break15%19%
Tie-breaks won7/1512/16
Wins in straight sets72%53%
Matches in the sample4433

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Omar Jasika

  • 18/10/26WHiroki Moriya#480Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:2 6:3
  • 13/10/26LLiam Draxl#197Challenger Jinan · Q27:5 6:7 4:6
  • 11/10/26WPetr Bar Biryukov#327Challenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:2
  • 10/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#361Challenger Wuning 3 · SF6:7 3:6
  • 09/10/26WTimofei Derepasko#609Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:3 6:2
  • 07/10/26WMarat Sharipov#225Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 3:0
  • 06/10/26WMartin Borisiouk#867Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 6:3 7:5
  • 30/09/26LDane Sweeny#112Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 6:3 3:6
  • 29/09/26WHiroki Moriya#480Challenger Jingshan · Q26:4 6:4
  • 28/09/26WChase Ferguson#582Challenger Jingshan · Q16:3 6:1

Koki Matsuda

  • 18/10/26WMillen Hurrion#494Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:3 4:6 7:6
  • 06/10/26LEvan Zhu#462Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 3:6
  • 28/09/26LKeisuke Saitoh#478Challenger Jingshan · Q13:6 2:6
  • 15/09/26LArthur Weber#403Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R321:6 2:6
  • 10/09/26LPhilip Sekulic#339Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R162:6 6:4 5:7
  • 08/09/26WMartin Borisiouk#867Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R327:5 7:6
  • 02/09/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#405Challenger Zhangjiagang · R163:6 2:6
  • 01/09/26WJake Delaney#357Challenger Zhangjiagang · R327:6 7:6
  • 31/08/26WFanming Meng#981Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q22:6 6:3 7:6
  • 30/08/26WKaito UesugiChallenger Zhangjiagang · Q16:7 7:6 6:4

Elo over the last year

Omar JasikaKoki Matsuda

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. JasikaK. Matsuda
Hard court17–2540%19–1556%
Clay1–150%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Omar Jasika

Koki Matsuda