WTA OsakaWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Joint vs Sonmez 1:2: result and our tips

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Maya JointWTA #90Elo 1775hard 1762
1:2final6:3 4:6 3:6
Zeynep SonmezWTA #63Elo 1809hard 1774

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Joint 14 of 20, Sonmez 12 of 20 (tour average 56%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Won39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Joint 11 of 20, Sonmez 8 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Maya Joint48%
Zeynep Sonmez52%

Elo: M. Joint 48% · Z. Sonmez 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Joint30%
2:1 M. Joint19%
2:1 Z. Sonmez19%
2:0 Z. Sonmez32%

First set

Maya Joint49%
Zeynep Sonmez51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.549%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,296 matches

Games handicap

Zeynep Sonmez −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 28 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Maya JointZeynep Sonmez
5Aces2
3Double faults3
82%First serves in79%
49%First-serve points won58%
50%Second-serve points won27%
6/15Break points converted7/14
7/14Service games held8/14
49%Service points won52%
48%Return points won51%
94Total points won100

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. JointTourZ. Sonmez
Service points won54%56%56%
Return points won44%44%46%
Service games held61%63%64%
Breaks of serve35%37%40%
Aces per service game0.160.10
Double faults per game0.330.25
Sets with a tie-break10%9%
Tie-breaks won6/119/13
Wins in straight sets43%59%
Matches in the sample4659

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maya Joint

Zeynep Sonmez

Elo over the last year

Maya JointZeynep Sonmez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. JointZ. Sonmez
Hard court19–1753%19–1753%
Clay1–517%6–460%
Grass1–325%9–469%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Maya Joint

Zeynep Sonmez

First match in this tournament.