WTA 125 CuritibaRound of 16claybest of three sets
Jones vs Souza: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 0hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Francesca Jones95%
Marjorie Souza5%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 F. Jones84%
2:1 F. Jones12%
2:1 M. Souza3%
2:0 M. Souza2%
First set
Francesca Jones91%
Marjorie Souza9%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes14%
no86%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 16.0 · 51%market (no margin): 53%
The 16.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 17.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5 | 86% | 14% | 97% |
| 14.5 | 76% | 24% | 93% |
| 15.5 | 63% | 37% | 86% |
| 16.5 | 51% | 49% | 78% |
| 17.5 | 39% | 61% | 69% |
| 18.5 | 31% | 69% | 60% |
| 19.5 | 25% | 75% | 52% |
Sample: 504 matches
Games handicap
F. Jones −7.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes9%
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Jones | Tour | M. Souza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 56% | 56% | — |
| Return points won | 45% | 44% | — |
| Service games held | 63% | 63% | — |
| Breaks of serve | 40% | 37% | — |
| Aces per service game | 0.17 | — | |
| Double faults per game | 0.35 | — | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | — | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/11 | — | |
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | — | |
| Matches in the sample | 52 | — |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Francesca Jones
- 27/10/26WMaria Florencia Urrutia#439WTA 125 Curitiba · R327:5 6:1
- 16/10/26LDalma Galfi#152WTA 125 Lisbon · QF2:6 4:6
- 15/10/26WFrancisca Jorge#236WTA 125 Lisbon · R166:3 6:4
- 13/10/26WMartina Colmegna#420WTA 125 Lisbon · R327:5 6:1
- 16/09/26LMona Barthel#185WTA 125 Ljubljana · R160:6 4:6
- 15/09/26WAlja Senica#644WTA 125 Ljubljana · R325:7 6:3 6:3
- 10/09/26LRositsa Dencheva#195WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R166:7 7:5 4:6
- 08/09/26WRaluca Georgiana Serban#401WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R326:4 6:3
- 03/09/26LIva Jovic#12WTA US Open · R644:6 4:6
- 02/09/26WMagda Linette#71WTA US Open · R1286:4 1:6 6:3
Marjorie Souza
- 27/10/26WBerta Bonardi#638WTA 125 Curitiba · R326:1 7:5
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Jones | M. Souza | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 7–750% | 0–0 |
| Clay | 23–1168% | 1–0100% |
| Grass | 0–40% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Francesca Jones
- 27/10/26WMaria Florencia Urrutia#439WTA 125 Curitiba · R327:5 6:1
Marjorie Souza
- 27/10/26WBerta Bonardi#638WTA 125 Curitiba · R326:1 7:5