WTA 125 LisbonRound of 16claybest of three sets
Jorge vs Jones: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 6hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Francisca Jorge13%
Francesca Jones87%
Elo: F. Jorge 18% · F. Jones 82%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 F. Jorge7%
2:1 F. Jorge7%
2:1 F. Jones17%
2:0 F. Jones68%
First set
Francisca Jorge21%
Francesca Jones80%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes25%
no75%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%
The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 20.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 80% | 20% | 86% |
| 16.5 | 69% | 31% | 77% |
| 17.5 | 59% | 41% | 68% |
| 18.5 | 48% | 52% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 42% | 59% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 34% | 66% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 30% | 70% | 42% |
Sample: 700 matches
Games handicap
Francesca Jones −6.545%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes17%
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Jorge | Tour | F. Jones | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 54% | 56% | 56% |
| Return points won | 45% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 59% | 63% | 63% |
| Breaks of serve | 40% | 37% | 40% |
| Aces per service game | 0.17 | 0.16 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.28 | 0.35 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/5 | 5/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 19 | 50 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Francisca Jorge
- 13/10/26WZhibek Kulambayeva#475WTA 125 Lisbon · R324:6 6:2 6:3
- 22/09/26LMia Pohankova#202WTA 125 Porto · R322:6 1:6
- 18/09/26LJeline Vandromme#123WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · QF3:6 7:6 5:7
- 17/09/26WVictoria Jimenez Kasintseva#211WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R166:2 4:6 6:4
- 15/09/26WXinyu Gao#220WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R326:3 6:3
- 26/08/26LMia Ristic#183WTA US Open · Q21:6 3:6
- 24/08/26WVictoria Jimenez Kasintseva#211WTA US Open · Q16:3 6:3
- 24/06/26LLina Gjorcheska#361WTA Wimbledon · Q27:5 2:6 1:6
- 23/06/26WDalma Galfi#152WTA Wimbledon · Q17:6 6:3
- 16/06/26LElena Micic#276WTA 125 Figueira Da Foz · R324:6 6:7
Francesca Jones
- 13/10/26WMartina Colmegna#325WTA 125 Lisbon · R327:5 6:1
- 16/09/26LMona Barthel#180WTA 125 Ljubljana · R160:6 4:6
- 15/09/26WAlja Senica#643WTA 125 Ljubljana · R325:7 6:3 6:3
- 10/09/26LRositsa Dencheva#195WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R166:7 7:5 4:6
- 08/09/26WRaluca Georgiana Serban#409WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R326:4 6:3
- 03/09/26LIva Jovic#11WTA US Open · R644:6 4:6
- 02/09/26WMagda Linette#77WTA US Open · R1286:4 1:6 6:3
- 28/08/26WJoanna Garland#147WTA US Open · Q36:4 6:1
- 26/08/26WMona Barthel#180WTA US Open · Q27:6 1:6 6:2
- 25/08/26WNuria Brancaccio#232WTA US Open · Q16:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Francisca JorgeFrancesca Jones
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Jorge | F. Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 6–746% | 7–847% |
| Clay | 2–250% | 21–1068% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 0–40% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Francisca Jorge
- 13/10/26WZhibek Kulambayeva#475WTA 125 Lisbon · R324:6 6:2 6:3
Francesca Jones
- 13/10/26WMartina Colmegna#325WTA 125 Lisbon · R327:5 6:1