Kachmazov vs Noguchi 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Kachmazov won 9 of the last 10 matches
Other tips
- Total Games: Over 20.5Lost58%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Kachmazov: 5 matches in a row over 20.5 games
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Kachmazov: 4 matches in a row going the distance; A third set in recent matches: Kachmazov 9 of 16, Noguchi 9 of 20 (tour average 34%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Kachmazov 57% · R. Noguchi 44%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,806 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 22.0in · 16 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Alibek Kachmazov | Rio Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 0 |
| 3 | Double faults | 4 |
| 47% | First serves in | 62% |
| 74% | First-serve points won | 59% |
| 47% | Second-serve points won | 30% |
| 5/14 | Break points converted | 1/5 |
| 7/8 | Service games held | 3/8 |
| 60% | Service points won | 48% |
| 52% | Return points won | 40% |
| 71 | Total points won | 57 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Kachmazov | Tour | R. Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.63 | 0.14 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.16 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 32% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/13 | 7/19 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 57% | |
| Matches in the sample | 16 | 66 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alibek Kachmazov
- 26/10/26WWoobin ShinChallenger Seoul · Q26:0 4:6 6:3
- 25/10/26WDong Ju Kim#732Challenger Seoul · Q14:6 6:3 6:1
- 13/10/26LJay Friend#266Challenger Jinan · R327:6 5:7 3:6
- 11/10/26WJay Friend#266Challenger Wuning 3 · F4:6 7:6 7:6
- 10/10/26WOmar Jasika#386Challenger Wuning 3 · SF7:6 6:3
- 09/10/26WFajing Sun#292Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:3 6:4
- 08/10/26WEvan Zhu#462Challenger Wuning 3 · R167:6 7:6
- 06/10/26WCharles Broom#268Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 7:6 6:4
- 05/10/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#851Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:1 6:1
- 04/10/26WYan Lang ChenChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:2
Rio Noguchi
- 20/10/26LKasidit Samrej#368Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:2 1:6 6:7
- 05/10/26LAlexandre Muller#130ATP Shanghai · Q13:6 6:4 1:6
- 23/09/26LDalibor Svrcina#120ATP Hangzhou · Q24:6 1:6
- 22/09/26WMasamichi Imamura#433ATP Hangzhou · Q16:1 6:4
- 18/09/26LPavel Kotov#169Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF1:6 6:7
- 16/09/26WColin Sinclair#483Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:3 6:3
- 14/09/26WKaichi Uchida#420Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R323:6 6:2 6:3
- 09/09/26LOmar Jasika#386Challenger Shanghai · R162:6 5:7
- 07/09/26WRigele TE#739Challenger Shanghai · R327:6 6:2
- 25/08/26LYunchaokete Bu#92ATP US Open · Q16:4 4:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Kachmazov | R. Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 10–663% | 33–2359% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 1–233% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 3–443% |
Head to head
A. Kachmazov 1–0 R. Noguchi
- 24/04/25Winner: A. Kachmazov7:6 6:4
Road through the tournament
Alibek Kachmazov
- 25/10/26WDong Ju Kim#732Challenger Seoul · Q14:6 6:3 6:1
- 26/10/26WWoobin ShinChallenger Seoul · Q26:0 4:6 6:3
Rio Noguchi
First match in this tournament.