Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Semifinalhardbest of three sets

Kaśnikowski vs Dzumhur 0:2: result and our tips

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Maks KaśnikowskiATP #214Elo 1743hard 1715
0:2final1:6 5:7
Damir DzumhurATP #83Elo 1815hard 1770

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kasnikowski: 7 matches in a row under 23.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won42%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kasnikowski: 4 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Maks Kaśnikowski47%
Damir Dzumhur53%

Elo: M. Kaśnikowski 42% · D. Dzumhur 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Kaśnikowski28%
2:1 M. Kaśnikowski18%
2:1 D. Dzumhur20%
2:0 D. Dzumhur34%

First set

Maks Kaśnikowski47%
Damir Dzumhur53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,308 matches

Games handicap

Damir Dzumhur −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Maks KaśnikowskiDamir Dzumhur
1Aces1
1Double faults0
55%First serves in68%
66%First-serve points won68%
35%Second-serve points won83%
0/2Break points converted4/6
6/10Service games held9/9
52%Service points won73%
27%Return points won48%
45Total points won69

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. KaśnikowskiTourD. Dzumhur
Service points won65%62%59%
Return points won40%38%40%
Service games held81%76%69%
Breaks of serve26%24%28%
Aces per service game0.370.13
Double faults per game0.130.17
Sets with a tie-break14%15%
Tie-breaks won10/2312/22
Wins in straight sets73%56%
Matches in the sample6859

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maks Kaśnikowski

Damir Dzumhur

Elo over the last year

Maks KaśnikowskiDamir Dzumhur

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. KaśnikowskiD. Dzumhur
Hard court28–1664%12–1446%
Clay13–1154%13–1645%
Grass0–02–250%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Maks Kaśnikowski

Damir Dzumhur

See also