Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Kaśnikowski vs Travaglia: prediction and tips

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Maks KaśnikowskiATP #238Elo 1727hard 1696
-:-
Stefano TravagliaATP #173Elo 1715hard 1729

Our tips

Tip in 1d 6h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Maks Kaśnikowski59%
Stefano Travaglia41%

Elo: M. Kaśnikowski 45% · S. Travaglia 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Kaśnikowski38%
2:1 M. Kaśnikowski21%
2:1 S. Travaglia17%
2:0 S. Travaglia25%

First set

Maks Kaśnikowski56%
Stefano Travaglia44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.542%59%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,827 matches

Games handicap

Maks Kaśnikowski −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. KaśnikowskiTourS. Travaglia
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won40%38%40%
Service games held81%76%77%
Breaks of serve26%24%29%
Aces per service game0.360.53
Double faults per game0.130.20
Sets with a tie-break14%21%
Tie-breaks won10/239/32
Wins in straight sets73%67%
Matches in the sample6765

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maks Kaśnikowski

Stefano Travaglia

Elo over the last year

Maks KaśnikowskiStefano Travaglia

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. KaśnikowskiS. Travaglia
Hard court27–1663%20–1067%
Clay13–1154%15–1845%
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Maks Kaśnikowski

Stefano Travaglia