Challenger JinanChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Kecmanovic vs Shevchenko 0:2: result and our tips

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Miomir KecmanovicATP #61Elo 1861hard 1818
0:2final3:6 4:6
Alexander ShevchenkoATP #111Elo 1788hard 1755

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: KecmanovicLost70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Shevchenko lost 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.5Lost35%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A third set in recent matches: Kecmanovic 11 of 20, Shevchenko 8 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Miomir Kecmanovic70%
Alexander Shevchenko30%

Elo: M. Kecmanovic 59% · A. Shevchenko 41%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Kecmanovic48%
2:1 M. Kecmanovic22%
2:1 A. Shevchenko13%
2:0 A. Shevchenko17%

First set

Miomir Kecmanovic65%
Alexander Shevchenko35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.548%52%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.537%63%35%
25.535%65%32%

Sample: 4,607 matches

Games handicap

Miomir Kecmanovic −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Miomir KecmanovicAlexander Shevchenko
1Aces5
0Double faults1
60%First serves in71%
64%First-serve points won72%
47%Second-serve points won69%
1/2Break points converted3/3
6/9Service games held9/10
57%Service points won71%
29%Return points won43%
43Total points won59

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. KecmanovicTourA. Shevchenko
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won37%38%36%
Service games held79%76%77%
Breaks of serve21%24%19%
Aces per service game0.380.52
Double faults per game0.190.20
Sets with a tie-break18%23%
Tie-breaks won14/2718/34
Wins in straight sets58%52%
Matches in the sample5760

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Miomir Kecmanovic

Alexander Shevchenko

Elo over the last year

Miomir KecmanovicAlexander Shevchenko

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. KecmanovicA. Shevchenko
Hard court16–2143%13–1941%
Clay8–753%14–1254%
Grass2–340%0–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.