Khachanov vs Mannarino 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Khachanov won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Mannarino lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: KhachanovWon75%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Khachanov won 3 of 3 head-to-head matches; Khachanov won 7 of the last 10 matches
- Total Games: Under 23.5Won57%
Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 57%
Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Khachanov 14 of 20, Mannarino 15 of 20 (tour average 61%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 39% → with the players' profiles 47%
A tie-break in recent matches: Khachanov 12 of 20, Mannarino 7 of 20 (tour average 38%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: K. Khachanov 70% · A. Mannarino 30%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 72% | 28% | 67% |
| 20.5 | 64% | 36% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 50% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 3,615 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 22.0out · 18 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Karen Khachanov | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aces | 3 |
| — | Double faults | — |
| 69% | First serves in | 65% |
| 85% | First-serve points won | 69% |
| 53% | Second-serve points won | 29% |
| 4/4 | Break points converted | 1/1 |
| 8/9 | Service games held | 5/9 |
| 76% | Service points won | 55% |
| 45% | Return points won | 25% |
| 59 | Total points won | 39 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Khachanov | Tour | A. Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 67% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 85% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.56 | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.15 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 21% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/30 | 12/24 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 46% | 48% | |
| Matches in the sample | 49 | 55 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Karen Khachanov
- 09/10/26WArthur Fery#37ATP Shanghai · R647:6 6:7 7:6
- 04/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#34ATP Beijing · QF6:7 2:6
- 02/10/26WAlex Molcan#84ATP Beijing · R167:5 6:3
- 30/09/26WFelix Auger-Aliassime#5ATP Beijing · R326:3 6:3
- 11/09/26LAlexander Zverev#2ATP US Open · SF3:6 6:7 6:7
- 09/09/26WAlexander Blockx#28ATP US Open · QF6:2 7:5 3:2
- 07/09/26WLearner Tien#17ATP US Open · R167:5 4:6 6:7 6:1 6:4
- 05/09/26WBenjamin Bonzi#92ATP US Open · R326:3 6:2 6:4
- 03/09/26WFelix Auger-Aliassime#5ATP US Open · R646:7 6:3 6:2 6:2
- 31/08/26WRoman Andres Burruchaga#62ATP US Open · R1286:3 6:0 6:1
Adrian Mannarino
- 09/10/26WFlavio Cobolli#7ATP Shanghai · R646:1 4:6 6:3
- 07/10/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#124ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 2:2
- 29/09/26LPablo Carreno Busta#65ATP Beijing · Q23:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#61ATP Beijing · Q17:6 3:6 7:6
- 27/09/26LDenis Shapovalov#42ATP Chengdu · QF7:6 3:6 2:6
- 25/09/26WAlejandro Tabilo#30ATP Chengdu · R166:4 6:4
- 24/09/26WJuncheng Shang#214ATP Chengdu · R327:6 6:2
- 17/09/26LMatisse Bobichon#571Challenger Rennes · R163:6 5:7
- 15/09/26WDan Added#391Challenger Rennes · R326:2 6:4
- 02/09/26LAlexander Bublik#22ATP US Open · R643:6 1:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Khachanov | A. Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–1553% | 15–2142% |
| Clay | 7–654% | 0–80% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 6–555% |
Head to head
K. Khachanov 3–0 A. Mannarino
- 14/01/25Winner: Karen Khachanov7:6 6:3 6:3
- 16/01/17Winner: Karen Khachanov6:4 3:6 7:6 6:3
- 28/09/16Winner: Karen Khachanov3:6 6:3 6:1
Road through the tournament
Karen Khachanov
- 09/10/26WArthur Fery#37ATP Shanghai · R647:6 6:7 7:6
Adrian Mannarino
- 07/10/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#124ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 2:2
- 09/10/26WFlavio Cobolli#7ATP Shanghai · R646:1 4:6 6:3