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WTA 125 CourmayeurRound of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Kotliar vs Andreeva: prediction and tips

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Yelyzaveta KotliarWTA #353Elo 1539hard 1551
-:-
Erika AndreevaWTA #214Elo 1589hard 1581

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Yelyzaveta Kotliar18%
Erika Andreeva82%

Elo: Y. Kotliar 46% · E. Andreeva 54%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Kotliar9%
2:1 Y. Kotliar9%
2:1 E. Andreeva19%
2:0 E. Andreeva63%

First set

Yelyzaveta Kotliar24%
Erika Andreeva76%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 54%market (no margin): 52%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.585%15%87%
16.574%26%78%
17.565%35%69%
18.553%47%60%
19.546%54%53%
20.539%61%46%
21.535%65%41%

Sample: 1,296 matches

Games handicap

E. Andreeva −5.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. KotliarTourE. Andreeva
Service points won52%56%57%
Return points won48%44%44%
Service games held57%63%67%
Breaks of serve46%37%37%
Aces per service game0.080.25
Double faults per game0.630.21
Sets with a tie-break14%10%
Tie-breaks won1/52/5
Wins in straight sets38%67%
Matches in the sample1522

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yelyzaveta Kotliar

  • 26/10/26WAlja Senica#644WTA 125 Courmayeur · Q26:4 7:6
  • 06/09/26LElsa Bonelli#888WTA 125 Montreux · Q12:5
  • 30/07/26LMia Ristic#182WTA 125 Targu Mures · R166:2 2:6 6:7
  • 28/07/26WDalila Spiteri#368WTA 125 Targu Mures · R325:7 6:3 6:2
  • 27/07/26WAndreea Prisacariu#501WTA 125 Targu Mures · Q26:4 6:0
  • 26/07/26WAlessandra Mazzola#352WTA 125 Targu Mures · Q15:7 6:2 6:2
  • 19/07/26LMina Hodzic#290WTA 125 Palermo · Q26:7 6:7
  • 13/07/26LFederica Urgesi#270WTA 125 Rome · R323:6 0:6
  • 12/07/26WAmandine Hesse#457WTA 125 Rome · Q16:3 5:7 6:3
  • 07/07/26LOksana Selekhmeteva#120WTA 125 Contrexeville · R324:6 4:6

Erika Andreeva

  • 13/10/26LAnouk Koevermans#233WTA 125 Rovereto · R327:5 1:6 4:6
  • 12/10/26WZongyu Li#298WTA 125 Rovereto · Q27:5 0:1
  • 11/10/26WGiulia Alessia MonteleoneWTA 125 Rovereto · Q16:0 6:0
  • 03/10/26LLois Boisson#256WTA 125 Adana · SF3:6 6:4 2:6
  • 02/10/26WElena Pridankina#190WTA 125 Adana · QF1:6 6:1 6:3
  • 30/09/26WSimona Waltert#128WTA 125 Adana · R166:3 6:1
  • 29/09/26WPolina Iatcenko#147WTA 125 Adana · R326:3 6:2
  • 27/09/26WElena Micic#289WTA 125 Adana · Q26:2 6:2
  • 26/09/26WIlay Yoruk#736WTA 125 Adana · Q16:3 3:6 4:1
  • 22/09/26LReese Brantmeier#217WTA 125 Porto · R323:6 6:7

Elo over the last year

Yelyzaveta KotliarErika Andreeva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. KotliarE. Andreeva
Hard court1–0100%7–654%
Clay7–750%4–450%
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Yelyzaveta Kotliar

Erika Andreeva

First match in this tournament.