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WTA 125 CourmayeurQualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Kotliar vs Senica 2:0: result and our tips

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Yelyzaveta KotliarWTA #353Elo 1519hard 1510
2:0final6:4 7:6(3)
Alja SenicaWTA #644Elo 1356hard 1420

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yelyzaveta Kotliar81%
Alja Senica19%

Elo: Y. Kotliar 63% · A. Senica 37%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Kotliar61%
2:1 Y. Kotliar20%
2:1 A. Senica10%
2:0 A. Senica10%

First set

Yelyzaveta Kotliar74%
Alja Senica26%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 53%market (no margin): 53%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.576%24%78%
17.566%34%69%
18.555%45%60%
19.547%53%53%
20.540%60%46%
21.537%63%42%
22.533%67%37%

Sample: 1,386 matches

Games handicap

Y. Kotliar −5.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Yelyzaveta KotliarAlja Senica
0Aces1
3Double faults8
57%First serves in50%
60%First-serve points won61%
43%Second-serve points won42%
6/9Break points converted5/8
6/11Service games held5/11
53%Service points won51%
49%Return points won47%
72Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. KotliarTourA. Senica
Service points won52%56%52%
Return points won48%44%45%
Service games held57%63%53%
Breaks of serve46%37%35%
Aces per service game0.080.25
Double faults per game0.650.37
Sets with a tie-break11%18%
Tie-breaks won0/42/2
Wins in straight sets29%0%
Matches in the sample144

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yelyzaveta Kotliar

  • 06/09/26LElsa Bonelli#888WTA 125 Montreux · Q12:5
  • 30/07/26LMia Ristic#182WTA 125 Targu Mures · R166:2 2:6 6:7
  • 28/07/26WDalila Spiteri#368WTA 125 Targu Mures · R325:7 6:3 6:2
  • 27/07/26WAndreea Prisacariu#501WTA 125 Targu Mures · Q26:4 6:0
  • 26/07/26WAlessandra Mazzola#352WTA 125 Targu Mures · Q15:7 6:2 6:2
  • 19/07/26LMina Hodzic#290WTA 125 Palermo · Q26:7 6:7
  • 13/07/26LFederica Urgesi#270WTA 125 Rome · R323:6 0:6
  • 12/07/26WAmandine Hesse#457WTA 125 Rome · Q16:3 5:7 6:3
  • 07/07/26LOksana Selekhmeteva#120WTA 125 Contrexeville · R324:6 4:6
  • 06/07/26WLiv Boulard#729WTA 125 Contrexeville · Q26:4 6:3

Alja Senica

Elo over the last year

Yelyzaveta KotliarAlja Senica

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. KotliarA. Senica
Hard court0–01–150%
Clay7–750%0–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Yelyzaveta Kotliar

First match in this tournament.

Alja Senica