ATP Lyon250Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Kouame vs Musetti 0:2: result and our tips

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Moise KouameATP #194Elo 1677hard 1661
0:2final4:6 4:6
Lorenzo MusettiATP #26Elo 2081hard 2026

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 25.5Won66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 25.5 games in recent matches: Kouame 16 of 20, Musetti 18 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won66%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Kouame 15 of 20, Musetti 17 of 20 (tour average 65%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost33%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Kouame 11 of 20, Musetti 8 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Moise Kouame24%
Lorenzo Musetti76%

Elo: M. Kouame 11% · L. Musetti 89%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Kouame13%
2:1 M. Kouame13%
2:1 L. Musetti22%
2:0 L. Musetti53%

First set

Moise Kouame30%
Lorenzo Musetti70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%25%76%
19.567%33%68%
20.559%41%59%
21.553%47%54%
22.545%55%46%
23.539%61%39%
24.537%63%38%

Sample: 3,656 matches

Games handicap

Lorenzo Musetti −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Moise KouameLorenzo Musetti
6Aces2
3Double faults0
64%First serves in65%
66%First-serve points won82%
42%Second-serve points won56%
1/1Break points converted3/12
7/10Service games held9/10
57%Service points won73%
27%Return points won43%
56Total points won69

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. KouameTourL. Musetti
Service points won61%62%64%
Return points won38%38%38%
Service games held76%76%81%
Breaks of serve24%24%24%
Aces per service game0.410.38
Double faults per game0.410.21
Sets with a tie-break11%11%
Tie-breaks won4/105/12
Wins in straight sets65%67%
Matches in the sample3844

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Moise Kouame

Lorenzo Musetti

Elo over the last year

Moise KouameLorenzo Musetti

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. KouameL. Musetti
Hard court15–1452%21–1362%
Clay2–722%6–460%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Moise Kouame

Lorenzo Musetti