Challenger BragaChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets

Krutykh vs Mikrut 1:2: result and our tips

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Oleksii KrutykhATP #456Elo 1658clay 1656
1:2final7:6(4) 4:6 4:6
Luka MikrutATP #167Elo 1868clay 1908

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: MikrutLost74%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Mikrut: 6 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 17.5Won73%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Krutykh: 9 matches in a row over 17.5 games

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.5Won31%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Krutykh: 4 matches in a row going the distance

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Oleksii Krutykh17%
Luka Mikrut83%

Elo: O. Krutykh 19% · L. Mikrut 81%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Krutykh9%
2:1 O. Krutykh8%
2:1 L. Mikrut22%
2:0 L. Mikrut61%

First set

Oleksii Krutykh24%
Luka Mikrut76%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.581%19%84%
17.571%29%76%
18.561%39%68%
19.552%48%59%
20.545%55%52%
21.541%60%47%
22.535%66%40%

Sample: 2,049 matches

Games handicap

Luka Mikrut −5.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 20.0out · 33 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Oleksii KrutykhLuka Mikrut
1Aces11
3Double faults5
57%First serves in53%
68%First-serve points won78%
61%Second-serve points won57%
0/5Break points converted2/7
14/16Service games held16/16
65%Service points won68%
32%Return points won35%
101Total points won111

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. KrutykhTourL. Mikrut
Service points won63%62%65%
Return points won43%38%39%
Service games held78%76%81%
Breaks of serve33%24%25%
Aces per service game0.260.45
Double faults per game0.240.18
Sets with a tie-break10%13%
Tie-breaks won4/76/11
Wins in straight sets70%55%
Matches in the sample2935

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Oleksii Krutykh

Luka Mikrut

Elo over the last year

Oleksii KrutykhLuka Mikrut

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. KrutykhL. Mikrut
Hard court0–05–742%
Clay20–969%17–577%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Oleksii Krutykh

Luka Mikrut