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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Kudermetova vs Tjen 0:2: result and our tips

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Polina KudermetovaWTA #91Elo 1808hard 1785
0:2final2:6 2:6
Janice TjenWTA #47Elo 1764hard 1760

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Kudermetova 12 of 20, Tjen 14 of 20 (tour average 56%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Polina Kudermetova39%
Janice Tjen61%

Elo: P. Kudermetova 54% · J. Tjen 46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Kudermetova25%
2:1 P. Kudermetova17%
2:1 J. Tjen21%
2:0 J. Tjen37%

First set

Polina Kudermetova44%
Janice Tjen56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%62%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,450 matches

Games handicap

J. Tjen −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Polina KudermetovaJanice Tjen
3Aces4
5Double faults0
60%First serves in62%
59%First-serve points won89%
43%Second-serve points won63%
0/0Break points converted4/6
4/8Service games held8/8
53%Service points won79%
21%Return points won47%
37Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. KudermetovaTourJ. Tjen
Service points won57%56%59%
Return points won45%44%40%
Service games held67%63%69%
Breaks of serve39%37%26%
Aces per service game0.290.36
Double faults per game0.490.33
Sets with a tie-break13%19%
Tie-breaks won11/1912/21
Wins in straight sets63%67%
Matches in the sample6549

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Polina Kudermetova

Janice Tjen

Elo over the last year

Polina KudermetovaJanice Tjen

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. KudermetovaJ. Tjen
Hard court17–1357%17–1849%
Clay19–968%2–529%
Grass5–271%2–529%

Head to head

They have not met yet.