ATP Almaty250Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Kukushkin vs Sakellaridis 2:0: result and our tips

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Mikhail KukushkinATP #389Elo 1713hard 1721
2:0final7:6(4) 7:6(3)
Stefanos SakellaridisATP #133Elo 1800hard 1774

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: SakellaridisLost69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kukushkin lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Sakellaridis won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: SakellaridisLost75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Kukushkin lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mikhail Kukushkin23%
Stefanos Sakellaridis77%

Elo: M. Kukushkin 42% · S. Sakellaridis 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Kukushkin13%
2:1 M. Kukushkin12%
2:1 S. Sakellaridis22%
2:0 S. Sakellaridis54%

First set

Mikhail Kukushkin29%
Stefanos Sakellaridis71%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 54%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%68%
20.561%39%59%
21.554%46%54%
22.547%53%45%
23.540%60%39%
24.537%63%38%
25.534%66%34%

Sample: 3,528 matches

Games handicap

Stefanos Sakellaridis −3.556%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.0in · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Mikhail KukushkinStefanos Sakellaridis
1Aces9
1Double faults3
67%First serves in59%
66%First-serve points won70%
57%Second-serve points won46%
3/7Break points converted3/8
9/12Service games held9/12
63%Service points won60%
40%Return points won37%
91Total points won85

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. KukushkinTourS. Sakellaridis
Service points won63%62%65%
Return points won39%38%37%
Service games held79%76%79%
Breaks of serve25%24%24%
Aces per service game0.310.59
Double faults per game0.110.24
Sets with a tie-break20%17%
Tie-breaks won11/2116/27
Wins in straight sets77%63%
Matches in the sample4668

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mikhail Kukushkin

  • 20/06/26LDamir Dzumhur#83ATP Mallorca · Q12:6 1:6
  • 13/06/26LMattia Bellucci#68ATP Halle · Q14:6 3:6
  • 06/05/26LMark Lajal#150Challenger Wuxi · R166:7 7:6 6:7
  • 04/05/26WTianhui Zhang#788Challenger Wuxi · R327:6 6:3
  • 29/04/26LColeman Wong#92Challenger Jiujiang · R323:6 3:6
  • 23/04/26LLeandro Riedi#244Challenger Gwangju · R163:6 2:6
  • 21/04/26WPavel Kotov#172Challenger Gwangju · R321:6 6:2 6:3
  • 16/04/26LBlake Ellis#445Challenger Wuning 2 · R163:6 6:7
  • 13/04/26WJie Cui#448Challenger Wuning 2 · R324:6 6:4 6:1
  • 30/03/26LDaniil Glinka#156Challenger Barletta · R323:6 3:6

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Elo over the last year

Mikhail KukushkinStefanos Sakellaridis

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. KukushkinS. Sakellaridis
Hard court25–1563%21–1362%
Clay1–420%18–967%
Grass0–20%4–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mikhail Kukushkin

First match in this tournament.

Stefanos Sakellaridis