ATP Lyon250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Kumstat vs Mmoh 1:2: result and our tips

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Jan KumstatATP #192Elo 1920hard 1748
1:2final1:6 7:6(3) 3:6
Michael MmohATP #147Elo 1794hard 1792

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoLost56%

Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 56%

Mmoh: 15 matches in a row without a tie-break; No tie-break in recent matches: Kumstat 14 of 20, Mmoh 18 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Kumstat 14 of 20, Mmoh 18 of 20 (tour average 65%)

  • Total Games: Under 24.5Lost56%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Kumstat 13 of 20, Mmoh 17 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Kumstat 2-0Lost32%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kumstat won 2-0 in 11 of the last 20 matches, Mmoh lost 0-2 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jan Kumstat52%
Michael Mmoh49%

Elo: J. Kumstat 44% · M. Mmoh 56%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Kumstat32%
2:1 J. Kumstat20%
2:1 M. Mmoh20%
2:0 M. Mmoh29%

First set

Jan Kumstat51%
Michael Mmoh49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.575%25%68%
20.568%32%60%
21.562%39%54%
22.553%47%46%
23.546%54%39%
24.544%56%38%
25.540%60%34%

Sample: 5,198 matches

Games handicap

Jan Kumstat −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes45%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Jan KumstatMichael Mmoh
11Aces13
2Double faults5
54%First serves in72%
73%First-serve points won85%
47%Second-serve points won52%
0/2Break points converted3/6
10/13Service games held15/15
61%Service points won76%
24%Return points won39%
72Total points won100

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. KumstatTourM. Mmoh
Service points won67%62%62%
Return points won39%38%40%
Service games held86%76%77%
Breaks of serve25%24%28%
Aces per service game0.670.55
Double faults per game0.240.48
Sets with a tie-break14%14%
Tie-breaks won7/1210/18
Wins in straight sets61%64%
Matches in the sample3656

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jan Kumstat

Michael Mmoh

Elo over the last year

Jan KumstatMichael Mmoh

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. KumstatM. Mmoh
Hard court4–450%30–1764%
Clay24–486%3–350%
Grass0–00–30%

Head to head

They have not met yet.