Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Mmoh vs Nardi: prediction and tips

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Michael MmohATP #151Elo 1811hard 1809
-:-
Luca NardiATP #251Elo 1738hard 1734

Our tips

Tip in 1d 6h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Michael Mmoh59%
Luca Nardi41%

Elo: M. Mmoh 61% · L. Nardi 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Mmoh38%
2:1 M. Mmoh21%
2:1 L. Nardi17%
2:0 L. Nardi24%

First set

Michael Mmoh57%
Luca Nardi43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 59%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%26%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,832 matches

Games handicap

Michael Mmoh −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. MmohTourL. Nardi
Service points won62%62%61%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held77%76%75%
Breaks of serve28%24%26%
Aces per service game0.550.34
Double faults per game0.470.26
Sets with a tie-break14%21%
Tie-breaks won11/198/20
Wins in straight sets65%78%
Matches in the sample5739

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Michael Mmoh

Luca Nardi

Elo over the last year

Michael MmohLuca Nardi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. MmohL. Nardi
Hard court31–1765%12–1348%
Clay3–350%3–538%
Grass0–30%3–350%

Head to head

M. Mmoh 1–0 L. Nardi

  • 24/11/23Winner: Michael Mmoh7:6 2:6 6:4

Road through the tournament

Michael Mmoh

Luca Nardi