Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Kuzmanov vs Cerny 2:0: result and our tips

·

Dimitar KuzmanovATP #367Elo 1687hard 1662
2:0final6:3 6:2
M. CernyATP #705Elo 1423hard 1449

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 20.5Won56%

Where the number comes from: market alone 53% → with the players' profiles 56%

Kuzmanov: 4 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Other tips

  • Set Betting: Kuzmanov 2-0Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Kuzmanov won 2-0 in 10 of the last 20 matches, Cerny lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 19 matches (tour average 33%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Won40%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 40%

Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Kuzmanov 8 of 20, Cerny 10 of 19 (tour average 29%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dimitar Kuzmanov83%
M. Cerny17%

Elo: D. Kuzmanov 77% · M. Cerny 23%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Kuzmanov62%
2:1 D. Kuzmanov21%
2:1 M. Cerny8%
2:0 M. Cerny9%

First set

Dimitar Kuzmanov77%
M. Cerny24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.579%21%88%
17.569%31%79%
18.560%40%71%
19.551%49%62%
20.544%56%54%
21.538%62%49%
22.532%68%42%

Sample: 2,427 matches

Games handicap

Dimitar Kuzmanov −4.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 19.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Dimitar KuzmanovM. Cerny
1Aces1
0Double faults3
74%First serves in62%
73%First-serve points won58%
63%Second-serve points won53%
3/6Break points converted0/9
9/9Service games held5/8
71%Service points won56%
44%Return points won30%
65Total points won46

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. KuzmanovTourM. Cerny
Service points won61%62%60%
Return points won41%38%41%
Service games held73%76%72%
Breaks of serve32%24%30%
Aces per service game0.210.21
Double faults per game0.160.17
Sets with a tie-break8%12%
Tie-breaks won4/120/6
Wins in straight sets66%56%
Matches in the sample6821

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dimitar Kuzmanov

  • 11/10/26WRyan Peniston#541Challenger Olbia · Q16:4 6:3
  • 30/09/26LVitaliy Sachko#172Challenger Bari · R163:6 1:6
  • 29/09/26WGeoffrey Blancaneaux#447Challenger Bari · R326:3 6:0
  • 11/09/26LHarold Mayot#186Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF4:6 2:6
  • 09/09/26WVadym Ursu#405Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:4 7:5
  • 08/09/26WFaris Zakaria#544Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:1 6:3
  • 03/09/26LMiguel Damas#349Challenger Porto · R165:7 6:3 6:7
  • 01/09/26WAlafia Ayeni#448Challenger Porto · R326:2 1:6 6:3
  • 31/08/26WMaxime Janvier#640Challenger Porto · Q26:4 4:6 6:2
  • 30/08/26WJose FreitasChallenger Porto · Q16:0 6:1

M. Cerny

  • 11/10/26WVadym Ursu#405Challenger Olbia · Q16:7 6:3 0:1
  • 05/10/26LDimitris Sakellaridis#559Challenger Palermo · Q26:3 1:6 6:7
  • 04/10/26WFabrizio Andaloro#520Challenger Palermo · Q16:4 6:1
  • 14/09/26LJohan Nikles#399Challenger Szczecin · Q23:6 2:6
  • 13/09/26WFilip Misolic#471Challenger Szczecin · Q14:6 7:5 6:4
  • 17/08/26LRadu Mihai Papoe#326Challenger Prague · Q22:6 3:6
  • 16/08/26WDusan Obradovic#461Challenger Prague · Q16:2 6:2
  • 28/07/26LNorbert Gombos#355Challenger Liberec · R321:6 6:4 2:6
  • 05/07/26LIgnacio CarouChallenger Trieste · Q16:1 3:6 2:6
  • 14/06/26LAlexander Weis#624Challenger Parma · Q16:7 4:6

Elo over the last year

Dimitar KuzmanovM. Cerny

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. KuzmanovM. Cerny
Hard court15–1354%2–167%
Clay23–1757%7–1139%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Dimitar Kuzmanov

M. Cerny