WTA 125 MallorcaQuarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying
Lazaro Garcia vs Samson: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 16h 20mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Andrea Lazaro Garcia47%
Laura Samson53%
Elo: A. Lazaro Garcia 43% · L. Samson 57%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Lazaro Garcia29%
2:1 A. Lazaro Garcia18%
2:1 L. Samson20%
2:0 L. Samson33%
First set
Andrea Lazaro Garcia49%
Laura Samson51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 66% | 34% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 58% | 42% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 42% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 33% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 31% |
Sample: 1,406 matches
Games handicap
Laura Samson −0.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes23%
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Lazaro Garcia | Tour | L. Samson | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 56% | 54% |
| Return points won | 47% | 44% | 48% |
| Service games held | 64% | 63% | 61% |
| Breaks of serve | 43% | 37% | 41% |
| Aces per service game | 0.11 | 0.20 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.37 | 0.51 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/11 | 6/12 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 56% | |
| Matches in the sample | 35 | 40 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
- 15/10/26WNuria Brancaccio#232WTA 125 Mallorca · R166:7 7:5 6:4
- 12/10/26WYasmine Kabbaj#255WTA 125 Mallorca · R327:6 6:0
- 01/10/26LSonay Kartal#170WTA Beijing · R1282:6 3:6
- 29/09/26WLinda Fruhvirtova#157WTA Beijing · Q26:1 6:3
- 28/09/26WTian Jialin#597WTA Beijing · Q11:6 6:4 6:4
- 18/09/26LJoelle Lilly Sophie Steur#283WTA 125 Valencia · QF3:6 6:2 4:6
- 16/09/26WAne Mintegi Del Olmo#207WTA 125 Valencia · R167:6 6:3
- 14/09/26WCarlota Martinez Cirez#373WTA 125 Valencia · R326:2 6:2
- 09/09/26LAnastasiia Sobolieva#167WTA 125 Montreux · R160:6 3:6
- 08/09/26WAngela Fita Boluda#226WTA 125 Montreux · R326:3 6:1
Laura Samson
- 15/10/26WLucie Nguyen Tan#406WTA 125 Mallorca · R166:0 6:3
- 12/10/26WAran Teixido Garcia#365WTA 125 Mallorca · R326:3 2:6 6:3
- 21/09/26LNoemi Basiletti#241WTA 125 Tolentino · R323:6 4:6
- 19/09/26LSamira de Stefano#185WTA 125 Ljubljana · SF3:6 6:1 4:6
- 18/09/26WAnastasiia Sobolieva#167WTA 125 Ljubljana · QF6:4 6:1
- 16/09/26WWeronika Falkowska#294WTA 125 Ljubljana · R166:7 6:0 6:3
- 15/09/26WLucija Ciric-Bagaric#402WTA 125 Ljubljana · R326:3 6:2
- 25/08/26LTamara Zidansek#161WTA US Open · Q17:6 4:6 5:7
- 04/08/26LMona Barthel#180WTA 125 Warsaw · R325:7 3:6
- 02/08/26WKaitlin Quevedo#76WTA 125 Targu Mures · F2:6 6:3 6:1
Elo over the last year
Andrea Lazaro GarciaLaura Samson
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Lazaro Garcia | L. Samson | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 8–562% | 0–50% |
| Clay | 12–860% | 23–1168% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 0–10% |
Head to head
A. Lazaro Garcia 1–0 L. Samson
- 03/06/26Winner: Andrea Lazaro Garcia6:4 6:1
Road through the tournament
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
- 12/10/26WYasmine Kabbaj#255WTA 125 Mallorca · R327:6 6:0
- 15/10/26WNuria Brancaccio#232WTA 125 Mallorca · R166:7 7:5 6:4
Laura Samson
- 12/10/26WAran Teixido Garcia#365WTA 125 Mallorca · R326:3 2:6 6:3
- 15/10/26WLucie Nguyen Tan#406WTA 125 Mallorca · R166:0 6:3