WTA 125 MallorcaRound of 16claybest of three sets

Nguyen Tan vs Samson: prediction and tips

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Lucie Nguyen TanWTA #406Elo 1620clay 1622
-:-
Laura SamsonWTA #128Elo 1672clay 1715

Our tips

Tip in 1d 2h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Lucie Nguyen Tan13%
Laura Samson87%

Elo: L. Nguyen Tan 37% · L. Samson 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Nguyen Tan7%
2:1 L. Nguyen Tan7%
2:1 L. Samson17%
2:0 L. Samson68%

First set

Lucie Nguyen Tan20%
Laura Samson80%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes24%
no76%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.580%20%86%
16.568%32%77%
17.558%42%68%
18.548%52%59%
19.541%59%52%
20.534%66%45%
21.530%70%42%

Sample: 694 matches

Games handicap

Laura Samson −6.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. Nguyen TanTourL. Samson
Service points won54%56%54%
Return points won48%44%47%
Service games held59%63%61%
Breaks of serve47%37%40%
Aces per service game0.130.21
Double faults per game0.270.51
Sets with a tie-break7%13%
Tie-breaks won2/26/12
Wins in straight sets56%55%
Matches in the sample1239

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lucie Nguyen Tan

  • 13/10/26WEva Bennemann#284WTA 125 Mallorca · R326:4 6:1
  • 12/10/26WRuth Roura Llaverias#541WTA 125 Mallorca · Q26:3 4:6 6:4
  • 11/10/26WMireia Sagrista BermejoWTA 125 Mallorca · Q16:1 6:4
  • 08/09/26LAlina Granwehr#352WTA 125 Montreux · R323:6 7:5 4:6
  • 07/09/26WDalila Spiteri#377WTA 125 Montreux · Q24:6 6:4 6:2
  • 06/09/26WAmandine Monnot#326WTA 125 Montreux · Q11:6 6:3 7:6
  • 06/07/26LAlicia Herrero Linana#222WTA 125 Contrexeville · Q21:6 1:6
  • 05/07/26WYana MordergerWTA 125 Contrexeville · Q16:0 6:2
  • 29/04/26LMoyuka Uchijima#121WTA 125 Saint-Malo · R165:7 2:6
  • 28/04/26WAlice Tubello#218WTA 125 Saint-Malo · R327:6 6:3

Laura Samson

Elo over the last year

Lucie Nguyen TanLaura Samson

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. Nguyen TanL. Samson
Hard court0–00–50%
Clay9–375%22–1167%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Lucie Nguyen Tan

Laura Samson