WTA 125 MallorcaRound of 32claybest of three sets

Nguyen Tan vs Bennemann 2:0: result and our tips

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Lucie Nguyen TanWTA #406Elo 1585clay 1587
2:0final6:4 6:1
Eva BennemannWTA #284Elo 1532clay 1534

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won57%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Bennemann: 7 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Bennemann: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lucie Nguyen Tan35%
Eva Bennemann66%

Elo: L. Nguyen Tan 58% · E. Bennemann 42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Nguyen Tan22%
2:1 L. Nguyen Tan17%
2:1 E. Bennemann23%
2:0 E. Bennemann38%

First set

Lucie Nguyen Tan44%
Eva Bennemann56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 48%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%59%
19.561%39%52%
20.553%47%46%
21.549%51%42%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,428 matches

Games handicap

Eva Bennemann −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Lucie Nguyen TanEva Bennemann
—Aces—
2Double faults6
72%First serves in49%
61%First-serve points won50%
44%Second-serve points won29%
6/9Break points converted3/4
6/9Service games held2/8
56%Service points won39%
61%Return points won44%
57Total points won41

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. Nguyen TanTourE. Bennemann
Service points won54%56%52%
Return points won48%44%46%
Service games held59%63%54%
Breaks of serve45%37%41%
Aces per service game0.140.11
Double faults per game0.270.33
Sets with a tie-break8%7%
Tie-breaks won2/20/1
Wins in straight sets50%100%
Matches in the sample117

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lucie Nguyen Tan

  • 12/10/26WRuth Roura Llaverias#541WTA 125 Mallorca · Q26:3 4:6 6:4
  • 11/10/26WMireia Sagrista BermejoWTA 125 Mallorca · Q16:1 6:4
  • 08/09/26LAlina Granwehr#352WTA 125 Montreux · R323:6 7:5 4:6
  • 07/09/26WDalila Spiteri#377WTA 125 Montreux · Q24:6 6:4 6:2
  • 06/09/26WAmandine Monnot#326WTA 125 Montreux · Q11:6 6:3 7:6
  • 06/07/26LAlicia Herrero Linana#222WTA 125 Contrexeville · Q21:6 1:6
  • 05/07/26WYana MordergerWTA 125 Contrexeville · Q16:0 6:2
  • 29/04/26LMoyuka Uchijima#121WTA 125 Saint-Malo · R165:7 2:6
  • 28/04/26WAlice Tubello#218WTA 125 Saint-Malo · R327:6 6:3
  • 27/04/26WYasmine Kabbaj#255WTA 125 Saint-Malo · Q27:5 6:1

Eva Bennemann

Elo over the last year

Lucie Nguyen TanEva Bennemann

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. Nguyen TanE. Bennemann
Clay8–373%3–443%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Lucie Nguyen Tan

Eva Bennemann

First match in this tournament.