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Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Legout vs de Jonge 2:0: result and our tips

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Timo LegoutATP #343Elo 1779hard 1762
2:0final7:6(6) 6:2
Daniel de JongeATP #575Elo 1471hard 1494

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Legout 2-0Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Legout won 2-0 in 12 of the last 20 matches, de Jonge lost 0-2 in 1 of the last 8 matches (tour average 33%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost42%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Legout 13 of 20, de Jonge 2 of 8 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Timo Legout80%
Daniel de Jonge20%

Elo: T. Legout 82% · D. de Jonge 18%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Legout59%
2:1 T. Legout21%
2:1 D. de Jonge9%
2:0 D. de Jonge11%

First set

Timo Legout74%
Daniel de Jonge26%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%79%
18.568%32%71%
19.559%41%62%
20.550%50%54%
21.544%56%49%
22.538%62%42%
23.532%68%37%

Sample: 2,982 matches

Games handicap

T. Legout −4.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.5out · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Timo LegoutDaniel de Jonge
1Aces6
2Double faults10
59%First serves in44%
70%First-serve points won68%
65%Second-serve points won44%
4/9Break points converted2/5
8/10Service games held6/10
68%Service points won55%
46%Return points won32%
78Total points won62

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. LegoutTourD. de Jonge
Service points won61%62%64%
Return points won44%38%35%
Service games held75%76%79%
Breaks of serve38%24%19%
Aces per service game0.130.60
Double faults per game0.260.31
Sets with a tie-break6%30%
Tie-breaks won1/33/6
Wins in straight sets88%100%
Matches in the sample248

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Timo Legout

Daniel de Jonge

  • 12/10/26LUgo Blanchet#345Challenger Roanne · Q24:6 3:6
  • 11/10/26WMaxime Janvier#649Challenger Roanne · Q16:4 6:2
  • 14/09/26LDaniel Masur#365Challenger Rennes · Q26:7 6:4 6:7
  • 13/09/26WLuca SanchezChallenger Rennes · Q16:4 7:6
  • 12/07/26LDimitar Kuzmanov#358Challenger Bunschoten · Q16:4 4:6 3:6
  • 08/07/26LYi Zhou#256Challenger Nottingham 3 · R167:6 1:6 1:6
  • 06/07/26WEmile Hudd#461Challenger Nottingham 3 · R327:6 6:4
  • 15/06/26LMichael ZhuChallenger Royan · Q26:3 6:7 4:6

Elo over the last year

Timo LegoutDaniel de Jonge

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. LegoutD. de Jonge
Hard court17–771%2–250%
Clay0–00–20%
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.