ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Lehečka vs Borges 2:1: result and our tips

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Jiří LehečkaATP #16Elo 2107hard 2073
2:1final6:3 3:6 6:3
Nuno BorgesATP #51Elo 1984hard 1944

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: LeheckaWon67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Lehecka won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Borges lost the first set in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: LeheckaWon72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Lehecka won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jiří Lehečka72%
Nuno Borges28%

Elo: J. Lehečka 68% · N. Borges 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Lehečka49%
2:1 J. Lehečka23%
2:1 N. Borges13%
2:0 N. Borges16%

First set

Jiří Lehečka67%
Nuno Borges33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 54%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.576%24%68%
20.568%32%59%
21.560%40%54%
22.554%46%45%
23.546%54%39%
24.539%61%38%
25.538%62%34%

Sample: 4,255 matches

Games handicap

Jiří Lehečka −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes53%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 27 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jiří LehečkaNuno Borges
12Aces5
1Double faults2
63%First serves in68%
82%First-serve points won66%
59%Second-serve points won57%
2/8Break points converted1/1
13/14Service games held11/13
73%Service points won63%
37%Return points won27%
89Total points won76

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. LehečkaTourN. Borges
Service points won68%62%66%
Return points won35%38%35%
Service games held87%76%84%
Breaks of serve18%24%18%
Aces per service game0.660.54
Double faults per game0.130.17
Sets with a tie-break24%23%
Tie-breaks won16/3313/33
Wins in straight sets62%70%
Matches in the sample5558

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jiří Lehečka

Nuno Borges

Elo over the last year

Jiří LehečkaNuno Borges

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. LehečkaN. Borges
Hard court22–1461%16–1552%
Clay6–460%9–950%
Grass6–367%5–456%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jiří Lehečka

First match in this tournament.

Nuno Borges