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WTA 125 CourmayeurQualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Li vs Maduzzi 0:2: result and our tips

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Zongyu LiWTA #298Elo 1439hard 1434
0:2final5:7 3:6
Gaia MaduzziWTA #516Elo 1526hard 1521

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Zongyu Li59%
Gaia Maduzzi42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Z. Li39%
2:1 Z. Li20%
2:1 G. Maduzzi18%
2:0 G. Maduzzi23%

First set

Zongyu Li59%
Gaia Maduzzi41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%60%
19.559%41%53%
20.553%47%46%
21.549%51%41%
22.542%58%36%
23.538%62%33%
24.535%65%31%

Sample: 2,469 matches

Games handicap

Z. Li −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 21%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Zongyu LiGaia Maduzzi
1Aces4
9Double faults5
79%First serves in76%
53%First-serve points won64%
47%Second-serve points won53%
2/6Break points converted4/12
6/10Service games held9/11
52%Service points won62%
39%Return points won48%
71Total points won86

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Z. LiTourG. Maduzzi
Service points won57%56%—
Return points won43%44%—
Service games held67%63%—
Breaks of serve34%37%—
Aces per service game0.17—
Double faults per game0.33—
Sets with a tie-break6%—
Tie-breaks won1/1—
Wins in straight sets100%—
Matches in the sample8—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Zongyu Li

  • 12/10/26LErika Andreeva#214WTA 125 Rovereto · Q25:7 1:0
  • 11/10/26WIsabella Maria Serban#465WTA 125 Rovereto · Q16:2 6:1
  • 04/10/26LJia-Jing Lu#358WTA 125 Suzhou · Q11:6 7:5 5:7
  • 28/09/26LElsa Jacquemot#135WTA Beijing · Q14:6 0:6
  • 06/05/26LLizette Cabrera#288WTA 125 Jiujiang · R163:6 7:6 1:6
  • 04/05/26WWushuang Zheng#423WTA 125 Jiujiang · R326:4 6:4
  • 03/05/26WPriska Madelyn Nugroho#461WTA 125 Jiujiang · Q26:4 6:4
  • 02/05/26WYiming Dang#919WTA 125 Jiujiang · Q16:4 6:2
  • 25/10/25LElena Pridankina#190WTA Jiujiang · Q10:6 6:4 5:7
  • 22/09/25LVictoria Jimenez Kasintseva#211WTA Beijing · Q13:6 3:6

Gaia Maduzzi

Elo over the last year

Zongyu LiGaia Maduzzi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Z. LiG. Maduzzi
Hard court4–450%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Zongyu Li

First match in this tournament.

Gaia Maduzzi