WTA OsakaWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Liu vs Linette 0:2: result and our tips

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Claire LiuWTA #95Elo 1766hard 1743
0:2final4:6 3:6
Magda LinetteWTA #77Elo 1798hard 1755

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: LiuLost62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 62%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Linette lost 9 of the last 10 matches; Liu won 7 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 24.5Won64%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Liu 17 of 20, Linette 16 of 20 (tour average 68%)

  • 1st Set Winner: LiuLost57%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Liu won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Linette lost the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Liu 2-0Lost38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Liu won 2-0 in 11 of the last 20 matches, Linette lost 0-2 in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Claire Liu63%
Magda Linette37%

Elo: C. Liu 48% · M. Linette 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Liu39%
2:1 C. Liu22%
2:1 M. Linette16%
2:0 M. Linette23%

First set

Claire Liu58%
Magda Linette42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,359 matches

Games handicap

Claire Liu −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Claire LiuMagda Linette
2Aces6
3Double faults2
65%First serves in55%
60%First-serve points won81%
48%Second-serve points won42%
1/6Break points converted3/10
6/9Service games held9/10
55%Service points won64%
37%Return points won45%
63Total points won76

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. LiuTourM. Linette
Service points won58%56%57%
Return points won46%44%42%
Service games held69%63%67%
Breaks of serve41%37%31%
Aces per service game0.300.31
Double faults per game0.270.22
Sets with a tie-break8%9%
Tie-breaks won2/93/9
Wins in straight sets67%32%
Matches in the sample4840

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Claire Liu

Magda Linette

Elo over the last year

Claire LiuMagda Linette

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. LiuM. Linette
Hard court18–1162%13–1645%
Clay7–558%3–350%
Grass5–271%3–260%

Head to head

C. Liu 1–0 M. Linette

  • 03/04/18Winner: Claire Liu1:6 6:3 6:3

Road through the tournament

Claire Liu

Magda Linette

First match in this tournament.

See also