Mannarino vs Vukic 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Mannarino 15 of 20, Vukic 13 of 20 (tour average 62%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 37% → with the players' profiles 33%
Vukic: 3 matches in a row under 20.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Mannarino 53% · A. Vukic 48%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 67% | 33% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 54% | 46% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 42% | 58% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 40% | 61% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 35% | 65% | 30% |
Sample: 5,748 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 22.5in · 32 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Adrian Mannarino | Aleksandar Vukic | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Aces | 8 |
| 1 | Double faults | 2 |
| 71% | First serves in | 64% |
| 82% | First-serve points won | 65% |
| 59% | Second-serve points won | 61% |
| 1/8 | Break points converted | 1/1 |
| 15/16 | Service games held | 14/15 |
| 75% | Service points won | 64% |
| 36% | Return points won | 25% |
| 110 | Total points won | 95 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Mannarino | Tour | A. Vukic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 17% |
| Aces per service game | 0.38 | 0.59 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 24% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/24 | 21/35 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 55 | 61 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Adrian Mannarino
- 11/10/26LKaren Khachanov#25ATP Shanghai · R322:6 4:6
- 09/10/26WFlavio Cobolli#6ATP Shanghai · R646:1 4:6 6:3
- 07/10/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#128ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 2:2
- 29/09/26LPablo Carreno Busta#74ATP Beijing · Q23:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#57ATP Beijing · Q17:6 3:6 7:6
- 27/09/26LDenis Shapovalov#47ATP Chengdu · QF7:6 3:6 2:6
- 25/09/26WAlejandro Tabilo#31ATP Chengdu · R166:4 6:4
- 24/09/26WJuncheng Shang#248ATP Chengdu · R327:6 6:2
- 17/09/26LMatisse Bobichon#515Challenger Rennes · R163:6 5:7
- 15/09/26WDan Added#374Challenger Rennes · R326:2 6:4
Aleksandar Vukic
- 15/10/26LTomáš Macháč#72Challenger Jinan · R162:6 1:6
- 14/10/26WHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Jinan · R326:2 6:3
- 06/10/26LPavel Kotov#172ATP Shanghai · Q23:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WJie Cui#448ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:6 7:6
- 29/09/26LEvan Zhu#462Challenger Jingshan · Q23:6 2:4
- 28/09/26WRyan Seggerman#565Challenger Jingshan · Q16:4 6:4
- 23/09/26LKyrian Jacquet#85ATP Hangzhou · R326:7 6:3 3:6
- 30/08/26LRei Sakamoto#124ATP US Open · R1284:6 7:6 4:6 6:3 4:6
- 20/08/26LStefanos Sakellaridis#133Challenger Quebec City · R164:6 4:6
- 19/08/26WKyrian Jacquet#85Challenger Quebec City · R327:6 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Mannarino | A. Vukic | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 15–2142% | 23–2053% |
| Clay | 0–80% | 2–820% |
| Grass | 6–555% | 4–450% |
Head to head
A. Mannarino 0–2 A. Vukic
- 17/10/24Winner: Aleksandar Vukic6:7 3:6
- 19/08/24Winner: Aleksandar Vukic6:7 6:2 1:6