Challenger JinanChallenger 175Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Macháč vs Vukic: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 4h 10mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Tomáš Macháč68%
Aleksandar Vukic32%
Elo: T. Macháč 70% · A. Vukic 30%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 T. Macháč45%
2:1 T. Macháč22%
2:1 A. Vukic14%
2:0 A. Vukic19%
First set
Tomáš Macháč63%
Aleksandar Vukic37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 50%market (no margin): 50%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 70% | 30% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 62% | 38% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 50% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,071 matches
Games handicap
Tomáš Macháč −3.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes42%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Macháč | Tour | A. Vukic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 17% |
| Aces per service game | 0.41 | 0.60 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 24% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/16 | 21/36 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 35 | 62 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Tomáš Macháč
- 13/10/26WAlexandre Muller#133Challenger Jinan · R326:3 6:4
- 09/10/26LAlexander Bublik#22ATP Shanghai · R644:6 6:7
- 07/10/26WZhizhen Zhang#166ATP Shanghai · R1281:6 7:6 6:2
- 01/10/26LAlex Molcan#84ATP Beijing · R323:6 2:6
- 29/09/26LArthur Gea#56ATP Beijing · Q23:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WYannick Hanfmann#57ATP Beijing · Q17:6 6:7 6:4
- 30/08/26LToby Samuel#100ATP US Open · R1282:6 3:6 2:6
- 25/08/26LMees Rottgering#327ATP Winston Salem · R322:6 6:7
- 14/08/26LPablo Carreno Busta#65ATP Cincinnati · R1283:6 2:6
- 27/05/26LAlexander Zverev#2ATP French Open · R644:6 2:6 2:6
Aleksandar Vukic
- 14/10/26WHayato Matsuoka#247Challenger Jinan · R326:2 6:3
- 06/10/26LPavel Kotov#187ATP Shanghai · Q23:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WJie Cui#420ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:6 7:6
- 29/09/26LEvan Zhu#479Challenger Jingshan · Q23:6 2:4
- 28/09/26WRyan Seggerman#620Challenger Jingshan · Q16:4 6:4
- 23/09/26LKyrian Jacquet#76ATP Hangzhou · R326:7 6:3 3:6
- 30/08/26LRei Sakamoto#137ATP US Open · R1284:6 7:6 4:6 6:3 4:6
- 20/08/26LStefanos Sakellaridis#135Challenger Quebec City · R164:6 4:6
- 19/08/26WKyrian Jacquet#76Challenger Quebec City · R327:6 6:1
- 13/08/26LMark Lajal#149ATP Cincinnati · Q27:6 3:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Tomáš MacháčAleksandar Vukic
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Macháč | A. Vukic | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 11–1346% | 23–2152% |
| Clay | 6–555% | 2–820% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 4–450% |
Head to head
T. Macháč 2–0 A. Vukic
- 08/10/24Winner: Tomáš Macháč6:4 6:2
- 24/10/23Winner: Tomáš Macháč6:3 6:1
Road through the tournament
Tomáš Macháč
- 13/10/26WAlexandre Muller#133Challenger Jinan · R326:3 6:4
Aleksandar Vukic
- 14/10/26WHayato Matsuoka#247Challenger Jinan · R326:2 6:3