Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Marques vs Krutykh 0:2: result and our tips

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Diogo MarquesElo 1325clay 1346
0:2final4:6 4:6
Oleksii KrutykhATP #456Elo 1651clay 1650

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Diogo Marques4%
Oleksii Krutykh96%

Elo: D. Marques 15% · O. Krutykh 85%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Marques2%
2:1 D. Marques3%
2:1 O. Krutykh11%
2:0 O. Krutykh85%

First set

Diogo Marques8%
Oleksii Krutykh92%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes13%
no87%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 66%market (no margin): 53%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 18.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.589%11%98%
14.580%20%96%
15.566%34%91%
16.553%47%84%
17.541%59%76%
18.534%66%68%
19.528%73%59%

Sample: 1,100 matches

Games handicap

Oleksii Krutykh −7.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes12%

tour average 28%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 18.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Diogo MarquesOleksii Krutykh
7Aces4
0Double faults1
64%First serves in67%
78%First-serve points won84%
56%Second-serve points won81%
0/0Break points converted2/2
8/10Service games held10/10
70%Service points won83%
17%Return points won30%
43Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. MarquesTourO. Krutykh
Service points won—62%63%
Return points won—38%42%
Service games held—76%78%
Breaks of serve—24%31%
Aces per service game—0.25
Double faults per game—0.24
Sets with a tie-break—11%
Tie-breaks won—5/8
Wins in straight sets—70%
Matches in the sample—30

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Diogo Marques

Oleksii Krutykh

Elo over the last year

Diogo MarquesOleksii Krutykh

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. MarquesO. Krutykh
Clay0–020–1067%

Head to head

They have not met yet.