Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Semifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets
Martinez vs Virtanen: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 11h 52mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Pedro Martinez21%
Otto Virtanen79%
Elo: P. Martinez 42% · O. Virtanen 58%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 P. Martinez11%
2:1 P. Martinez9%
2:1 O. Virtanen21%
2:0 O. Virtanen58%
First set
Pedro Martinez27%
Otto Virtanen73%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 79% | 21% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 70% | 30% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 46% | 54% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 61% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 34% | 66% | 37% |
Sample: 3,225 matches
Games handicap
O. Virtanen −4.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes31%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| P. Martinez | Tour | O. Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.14 | 0.81 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 27% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/20 | 22/44 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 65% | |
| Matches in the sample | 66 | 64 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Pedro Martinez
- 13/11/26WCalvin Hemery#284Challenger Orleans · QF6:3 7:6
- 12/11/26WMatteo Martineau#203Challenger Orleans · R166:3 6:2
- 11/11/26WJurij Rodionov#118Challenger Orleans · R326:4 4:6 6:4
- 14/10/26LMatej Dodig#136Challenger Maia · R322:6 1:6
- 10/10/26LLaslo Djere#133Challenger Villena · SF4:6 2:6
- 09/10/26WPablo Llamas Ruiz#142Challenger Villena · QF6:4 4:2
- 08/10/26WDaniel Rincon#234Challenger Villena · R167:5 6:4
- 06/10/26WAugust Holmgren#265Challenger Villena · R322:6 7:6 7:5
- 22/09/26LEduardo Ribeiro#357Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:7 3:6
- 13/09/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#98Challenger Genoa · F4:6 2:6
Otto Virtanen
- 13/11/26WSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#202Challenger Orleans · QF6:2 6:4
- 12/11/26WDalibor Svrcina#112Challenger Orleans · R166:3 7:5
- 10/11/26WDino Prizmic#89Challenger Orleans · R326:1 2:6 7:6
- 05/11/26LLaslo Djere#133Challenger Bratislava 2 · R166:3 4:6 4:6
- 04/11/26WVitaliy Sachko#247Challenger Bratislava 2 · R326:3 7:5
- 31/10/26LMoise Kouame#132Challenger Brest · SF1:6 2:6
- 30/10/26WStefano Travaglia#177Challenger Brest · QF7:6 6:4
- 28/10/26WMatisse Bobichon#517Challenger Brest · R167:6 6:4
- 26/10/26WMatteo Martineau#203Challenger Brest · R327:6 6:4
- 18/10/26LVitaliy Sachko#247ATP Lyon · Q14:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Pedro MartinezOtto Virtanen
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| P. Martinez | O. Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–673% | 19–1359% |
| Clay | 20–2347% | 7–1041% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 11–473% |
Head to head
P. Martinez 0–1 O. Virtanen
- 22/06/26Winner: O. Virtanen4:6 6:1 1:6
Road through the tournament
Pedro Martinez
- 11/11/26WJurij Rodionov#118Challenger Orleans · R326:4 4:6 6:4
- 12/11/26WMatteo Martineau#203Challenger Orleans · R166:3 6:2
- 13/11/26WCalvin Hemery#284Challenger Orleans · QF6:3 7:6
Otto Virtanen
- 10/11/26WDino Prizmic#89Challenger Orleans · R326:1 2:6 7:6
- 12/11/26WDalibor Svrcina#112Challenger Orleans · R166:3 7:5
- 13/11/26WSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#202Challenger Orleans · QF6:2 6:4
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