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WTA WTA Tour FinalsFinalsSemifinalhardbest of three sets

Pegula vs Andreeva: prediction and tips

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Jessica PegulaWTA #5Elo 2176hard 2155
-:-
Mirra AndreevaWTA #3Elo 2151hard 2121

Our tips

Tip in 11h 52m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Jessica Pegula34%
Mirra Andreeva66%

Elo: J. Pegula 55% · M. Andreeva 45%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Pegula20%
2:1 J. Pegula15%
2:1 M. Andreeva22%
2:0 M. Andreeva43%

First set

Jessica Pegula38%
Mirra Andreeva62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.542%58%38%
23.538%63%34%
24.535%65%32%

Sample: 2,275 matches

Games handicap

M. Andreeva −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. PegulaTourM. Andreeva
Service points won61%56%61%
Return points won45%44%47%
Service games held75%63%75%
Breaks of serve37%37%44%
Aces per service game0.380.30
Double faults per game0.190.34
Sets with a tie-break9%12%
Tie-breaks won11/1511/19
Wins in straight sets60%76%
Matches in the sample6769

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jessica Pegula

Mirra Andreeva

Elo over the last year

Jessica PegulaMirra Andreeva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. PegulaM. Andreeva
Hard court36–1078%30–1173%
Clay9–375%22–388%
Grass7–278%1–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jessica Pegula

Mirra Andreeva

Upcoming matches

See also